fergie_mac66
Active member
The EU is going to collapse it is inevitable, It is why they are desperate to increase the number of members us staying in will lengthen the timescale of the collapse. It will collapse.The format has not worked properly ever, it has only survived on continuouse expansion both in terms of membership and/or terms of financial growth. The CAP has caused.problems from inception every thing from wine lakes, butter mountains,payments to not farm grow, not produce are plainly not sustainable when parts of the world are starving..The news today suggests that our economy would shrink by 6%. That would make the tax contribution required to cover NHS, education etc increase as a % per family
If the economy shrank one might ask what the economic migrants might do. Might they move on to somewhere more beneficial. ( I remember when a proportion of my labour force went to Germany when i had to lay them off due to lack of work & current migrants are more mobile.) If they did, would not our schools & NHS have a better chance of managing the reduced population. Hence the claimed increased contribution might not actually be needed.
Or is that wrong
Another point that has been made is that the EU does not want us to leave. If that is the case why did Dave have such a problem getting such a miserable outcome from his negotiations. So miserable in fact that the press has stopped telling us what they were - Perhaps everyone has forgotten. I am sure the EU will renege on them once we vote to stay - which we no doubt will. Then closer union will be forced on us. That will accelerate once Jeremy gets in.
Whilst i would like to see the back of the EU I would not like our departure to be seen as the cause of its collapse. Everyone in Europe would hate us-- Business as usual then !!!
The longer the timescale of the collapse the bigger it will be. If we leave it may trigger a slow collapse, which will be better than the future collapse if it goes to its natural conclusion. If we leave, we will have a few, maybe a good few, years dropping back but longterm we will recover much earlier than if we are inside when the collapse occurs. Maybe we will in at the inception of the EU phoenix when the huge intermember tensions cause the inevitable.