AntarcticPilot
Well-known member
+1! The astronomical part is pretty well nailed down, but the meteorological aspects are not! And in regions with shifting shoals, the basin dynamics can change quite quickly. The prediction technique is much simpler than atmospheric modelling, but does not take atmospheric effects into account at all, and it assumes basin resonances remain constant. And as with the weather, larger scale features are modelled better than smaller scale ones.I have only used the coefficients as a quick indicator of how big/small a tide might be. In days long by, when I did my passage planning as per RYA, I think that I would have found the French approach easier.
I am a little amused by the talk about accuracy. Tidal calculations may be a little more accurate than wind prediction, but not much.
Tidal predictions are really only accurate at places with tide gauges. Elsewhere, they are essentially linear interpolations and can affected by local geography and dynamics. It is turbulent flow in many areas, and that is notoriously intractable!