wonkywinch
Well-Known Member
The pings are 8 hours apart.Two different AIS transponders switched on at the same time?
The pings are 8 hours apart.Two different AIS transponders switched on at the same time?
Seems much more like a data glitch and a single occupant falling overboard.Smuggling or other nefarious activities?
Sadly yes, particularly as the skipper was open about likely passage as we knew about it half a pontoon away. Smugglers are kind of polite but less informative. As Border Force knew of projected arrival if the skipper was actually alive they could soon track himSeems much more like a data glitch and a single occupant falling overboard.
The boat picture shows wind vane steering gear, I don't think they have a reverse track functionLooks like someone hit "reverse track" on the autopilot
I saw that too, but the track looks awfully straight for a wind vane, but then the track seems to be in some doubt as per other posts above.The boat picture shows wind vane steering gear, I don't think they have a reverse track function![]()
Very sad. AIS track is odd. Left Roscoff on the morning of the 12th heading slightly W of N, at 20:46 that evening is a bit over 1/3 of the way across the channel, then the next update approx 6 hours later is 10nm back in the direction of Roscoff. From that point the updates continue in the original direction.
The vessel was on windvane steering. A low-pressure system came up the channel on Saturday, turning winds N'ly for a time before the SW'ly re-established itself. So the yacht, while appearing to be jilling around in a circle over the ground, was actually on a constant port tack broad reach the whole time.I did wonder, but it would have to have been 2 x near-exact 180 degree wind shifts 6 hours apart. Odd that there are no AIS pings during that 6 hours.
My guess is he set the autopilot to track at 90 degrees to the shipping lane although it's not a TSS at that location and the rule for that is to steer 90 degrees not track/COG 90 degrees to the lane as the intention is to allow the tidal stream to affect all vessels together.I saw that too, but the track looks awfully straight for a wind vane, but then the track seems to be in some doubt as per other posts above.

Don't forget, that is track over the ground. The tide turns in that area at around HWDover -2, would have been just about that time on 13/6. She was only doing about 4 knots, so spring tides would have induced a significant cross-track movement without any alteration of headingI've had another look at the track of Misty Blue. At the point when Marine Traffic picks him up again at 1018UTC on the 13th his COG is approx 020 with a wind of 160 degrees at 8 knots, so 40 degrees starboard from his astern on a broad reach.
At 1124, the vessel adjusts course to approx 315 heading roughly towards Dodman Point. The wind would now be right behind him so the sails would possibly need to be set for the run, eg wing on wing? Was any adjustment needed that took him outside of the cockpit and therefore exposing risk of MOB?
But tides are smooth sinusoidal changes, not angular. Here is our track last year from Alderney to Needles. A constant heading out of Alderney with the current sweeping us gently.Don't forget, that is track over the ground. The tide turns in that area at around HWDover -2, would have been just about that time on 13/6. She was only doing about 4 knots, so spring tides would have induced a significant cross-track movement without any alteration of heading

But tides are smooth sinusoidal changes, not angular. Here is our track last year from Alderney to Needles. A constant heading out of Alderney with the current sweeping us gently.
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You like speculation? Try this thread - https://www.pprune.org/accidents-close-calls/666472-plane-crash-near-ahmedabad.htmlCap’n Sensible’s standards are slipping. 34 posts in and he hasn’t swooped down from on high to wrap the knuckles of ‘the speculators’. Must be on a delivery trip.