Vendee Globe and Alex Thomson / Hugo Boss

How on earth do you get to that view???

My reading is that Alex is very nicely positioned to slide down the back of the low with strong winds off his quarter whereas Jean Le Cam will potentially end up beating into it. The only reason the dagger board boats are doing ok right now is that it's largely been an upwind race so far. All the foilers would admit that isn't their sweet spot. It will soon change and normal service will resume ;-)
Have you looked at where the low will be in 24 hours time ?
 
Have you looked at where the low will be in 24 hours time ?

Yes indeed.
I looked 2 days ago, yesterday and today. I see a high confidence of it continuing as is.
I see the same scenario as Matt.
And Alex is well positioned.
And I think Alex will be able to jibe and start south before Cam does.

But who knows.
Almost anything could happen.
Thats the fascination.
 
yes , that low does not seem to be moving very fast ,, depends who can position to ride it best . but Cam is nearer to it and should have it longer ... ( long shot !! ) Le Cam will get more out of it and ride it right on down little S x E to eventually take advantage of what wind there is coming off africa , which is the only thing in the longer term , AT will by then be too far west where there does not appear to be anything developing ,, ( ?? ) excellent stuff..:)
nxt update not until 9 oclock,, :confused: ( thats gonna be interesting )
 
Looking at the tracking at six this morning, it looks like Alex and Jean will enter the NW quadrant of Storm Theta. Just checking my theory that as the storm is moving directly east, the NW quadrant is the relatively the safest?
 
Looking at the tracking at six this morning, it looks like Alex and Jean will enter the NW quadrant of Storm Theta. Just checking my theory that as the storm is moving directly east, the NW quadrant is the relatively the safest?


Also whooosh, whooosh, zoom, not slam, slam, slam :)

And yes, for a Northern Hemisphere depression you are correct as apparent windspeed will be the slowest in that quadrant. Subject to the system behaving normally, fetch, pre-existing wave patterns, etc.
 
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Looking at the tracking at six this morning, it looks like Alex and Jean will enter the NW quadrant of Storm Theta. Just checking my theory that as the storm is moving directly east, the NW quadrant is the relatively the safest?
Correct and as they say the rich get richer, Alex will extend his lead. The trick is to try to get far enough ahead as after the storm if you look forward a few hours there is a calm area developing. You either need to cut west to keep in the winds or get there quickly. It is going to be really hard for the following boats to catch up because late comers are going to get less wind so the fleet will be stretched instead of being compressed.
 
Ive used some older weather routing software on a laptop updated by iridium for a couple of ocean passages over the last few years. It was really good. But I bet it's nothing to what these sailors have for this race. I can imagine programming the software for their yachts profile in all wind conditions must have taken ages. Of course they still have big decisions to make and a big risk of gear failure and fatigue, but weather routing help is huge.

I may even sack my bit of seaweed...... Anyway good luck to all the entries. Personally I will always be supporting Mr. Thompson. A guy I sailed across the Pacific with knows him because his wife was for some years, his PA. Beat that for a tenuous link! ?
 
If you look at where Cam was when ET hung the left , to follow him into what would develop into the sweet spot , smart move i agree ? , while Cam is , as i suggested yesterday , in a better position to exploit it for longer ( tho ET is ahead just now ) , will see at 17.00?
 
He has the stronger winds. However he also has a more reliable boat than the foilers so he is in a good position. He may take the lead when they hit the doldrums but I think that once they hit the trade the foilers will leave him behind.
 
Massive respect for LeCam. No doubt he is inspiring the French, and many other sailors. But he is playing to his strengths. The weather window round Cap Finistere gave him and other non foilers the opportunity of the shorter slower route. But he positioned well, and took it. Respect. 36 hours ago he was fast downwind, but lost ground to Alex, as the non-foilers just cannot match the new foilers downwind, as we know. Alex chose to go close to the centre of Theta, but slowed right down to protect the boat and those foils. But even so, he maxed out last night at 30.5kts in 6m waves. But his average through Theta was nothing compared to LeCam who has gained more ground overnight. I can imagine he knew his boat was stronger, and proven, and just didnt slow down. I image he is just having and enjoying a great time. Respect. But today, coming away from Theta, we will see Alex pull away again.
 
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