Tidal heights changes caused by 18.61 years cycle of lunar 'wobbles'

Chiara’s slave

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Bit of both, technically. Either way it's not really renewable in the very long term and is fun to bring up with eco-warriors. Same with wind power, it's just that we've not yet seen the side effects from mass adoption as we have with fossil fuels. Hopefully this time we won't wait too long.
Such things are fun, yes, since many (far from all of course) eco warriors are scientifically challenged. I was once doorstepped by a Green parliamentary candidate, who told me that nuclear generated electricity made my power points radioactive.
 

Leighb

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Such things are fun, yes, since many (far from all of course) eco warriors are scientifically challenged. I was once doorstepped by a Green parliamentary candidate, who told me that nuclear generated electricity made my power points radioactive.
Similarly an EU directive banned the sale of electric kettles greater than xWatts (can’t remember the figure) as this would “save” electricity.
 

lustyd

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I don't agree about tidal power
Lots of people used to say that about climate change and CO2. The science is pretty simple, the amount of power involved is well understood, and the amount we need far exceeds that. The numbers you quote are not correct, the moon's tidal energy is in the 10's of terawatts. You also overestimate how much change we need to affect to have an impact, and underestimate the effect tiny changes have globally. The article in #1 demonstrated this nicely. Lack of understanding always gets humanity in trouble, but for some reason every time we close our eyes and run headlong into the next problem.
 

Beneteau381

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I know it was a humorous comment, but I think energy dissipated by tides is supplied by slowing the earth's rotation, not from the moon's orbit.
on a slightly serious note, we are generating terrabits (sp) power from the wind? What did that power do before?
 

jdc

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on a slightly serious note, we are generating terrabits (sp) power from the wind? What did that power do before?
Dissipate its energy through friction, ie heat the earth. Gathered as electricity, we use it and, ultimately, that energy is itself dissipated as heat. No net gain or loss.

Thus it's renewable, as, I suspect but can't get a handle on the physics just yet, is tidal power (ie what gets extracted for electricity would, I suspect, just have been dissipated anyway as heat; no extra slowing of the earth). The moon's orbit's a red herring. A slightly obvious demonstration of the effect of tides in rock is the fact that the moon no longer rotates - the strong tidal forces exerted upon it by the earth dissipated its rotational energy as heat - but still it orbits.

Lustyd says that 'it's not really renewable in the long term'. of course this is philosophically true - entropy increases inexorably - but golly, that's a very long view! (think billions of years...)

Edit: maybe a spell-check induced confusion, but a Terrabit isn't a measure of power, just information storage: a TerraWatt is a measure of power.
 
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lustyd

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Dissipate its energy through friction, ie heat the earth. Gathered as electricity, we use it and, ultimately, that energy is itself dissipated as heat. No net gain or loss.
But that doesn't mean it's sustainable or that it has low impact. That wind was also doing useful things for nature, moving stuff about in the atmosphere. The earth has usually (I think) 3 layers of weather in each hemisphere. If we slow the middle one down in the UK we will also affect the tropics and polar regions, and this will have a knock on effect to the southern hemisphere. There's no free lunch. As an example if we prevent moisture being moved to where it usually goes from the atlantic there will be droughts, crops will fail, etc. all over Europe. CO2 and global warming affected climate, wind power could very well have a more direct and drastic effect on weather.
We also need to understand that "no net gain or loss" globally is not the same as energy ending up in the same place. At the extreme, imagine taking all of the solar power in the sahara and using it in the UK. The UK will be extremely hot and the sahara rather cool. This affects thermals in the atmosphere, jet stream, dust which adds shade to the atmosphere, all kinds of things most people don't even know exist let alone have considered the consequences.
 

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But that doesn't mean it's sustainable or that it has low impact. That wind was also doing useful things for nature, moving stuff about in the atmosphere. The earth has usually (I think) 3 layers of weather in each hemisphere. If we slow the middle one down in the UK we will also affect the tropics and polar regions, and this will have a knock on effect to the southern hemisphere. There's no free lunch. As an example if we prevent moisture being moved to where it usually goes from the atlantic there will be droughts, crops will fail, etc. all over Europe. CO2 and global warming affected climate, wind power could very well have a more direct and drastic effect on weather.
We also need to understand that "no net gain or loss" globally is not the same as energy ending up in the same place. At the extreme, imagine taking all of the solar power in the sahara and using it in the UK. The UK will be extremely hot and the sahara rather cool. This affects thermals in the atmosphere, jet stream, dust which adds shade to the atmosphere, all kinds of things most people don't even know exist let alone have considered the consequences.
That's fair enough - global no gain or loss doesn't mean that local effects don't exist, or are not necessarily significant, I already mentioned that tidal power may affect local tides. But you did start by referring to the orbit of the moon, and that's definitely a global phenomenon, not local, so you are rather changing your definitions and premise part way through the debate!

Whatever, you have to be numerate. You're never going to extract all the wind or all the tidal power - so how much will you extract? What sort of fraction is that? And, unless you are going to hide in a cave, not daring to breathe, you will interact with, and thus have an effect on the earth. So purism won't work; we have to come up with some ideas. I'm pretty sure that wind and solar are not very bad - in fact a lot better - compared to fossil fuels, so saying 'they aren't perfect' (no sh^t Sherlock, give that man a Nobel prize...) is not a useful contribution: propose a better course of action then. Or shut up.
 

lustyd

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Local solar generation is probably fine since you’re not generally redistributing the energy. I’m also pretty sure we can come up with a solution whereby we create fuels rather than dig them up. I agree wind in and of itself isn’t bad, but have you seen the epic scale of planned installations? I’m confident we’ll start to see consequences at some point. Having a net neutral energy output on the ground also doesn’t stop the effects on the moon, my assertion there doesn’t change. If we hold back the tide sufficiently it will certainly have an impact on the orbit of the moon which will have repercussions. Again, small installations are probably fine but humans never stick to small these days.
Nuclear is probably the best answer right now. It’s not renewable but it’s sustainable for a long time and the waste is manageable.
 

Chiara’s slave

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Local solar generation is probably fine since you’re not generally redistributing the energy. I’m also pretty sure we can come up with a solution whereby we create fuels rather than dig them up. I agree wind in and of itself isn’t bad, but have you seen the epic scale of planned installations? I’m confident we’ll start to see consequences at some point. Having a net neutral energy output on the ground also doesn’t stop the effects on the moon, my assertion there doesn’t change. If we hold back the tide sufficiently it will certainly have an impact on the orbit of the moon which will have repercussions. Again, small installations are probably fine but humans never stick to small these days.
Nuclear is probably the best answer right now. It’s not renewable but it’s sustainable for a long time and the waste is manageable.
All solar generation is fine. As is wind. Both of them generate their power directly or indirectly from radiated solar energy. Absorbing that energy has no effect on the rest of the planet except naybe a very sight cooling. But using the power puts that straight back. Admittedly, that too will run out one day. but not in the next billion years.
 

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First of all, the 18.6 year cycle is well known and has been since the times of the ancient Babylonians (it affects things like lunar eclipses). Second, the paper in question is about cyclical changes in the growth of mangroves affected by that lunar cycle. In this case, it IS cyclical behaviour, and separate from climate change. Mangroves are not at risk

So, basically, move along there, nothing to see.
 

lustyd

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All solar generation is fine. As is wind. Both of them generate their power directly or indirectly from radiated solar energy. Absorbing that energy has no effect on the rest of the planet except naybe a very sight cooling. But using the power puts that straight back. Admittedly, that too will run out one day. but not in the next billion years.
If we generate the solar in the Sahara and consume it in the uk it would certainly cause issues if done at scale.
 

lustyd

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Surely if we slow the moon it doesn't go flying off into interstellar space... It comes home to roost.
Gosh, I'm getting worried now.
I thought that but Prof Brian Cox said it will fly outwards as energy is removed. He is orders of magnitude smarter than I am so I assume he’s right.
 

Chiara’s slave

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You’ve got some strange ideas there. ’Moving‘ solar generated energy would have no measurable effect at all, maybe it might if the Sahara was completely covered with panels. It’s a vast area, and all the solar panels made so far in the world would be less than 1% of it. And if the moon slows, it will fall inwards, not fly off. prof Cox would never have suggested anything else.
 

lustyd

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It’s not a strange idea if you understand global weather patterns, it’s a pretty straightforward cause and effect. Sadly those that do are vastly outnumbered by the “it’s fine the planet is really big” brigade, hence global warming.
 

Chiara’s slave

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It’s not a strange idea if you understand global weather patterns, it’s a pretty straightforward cause and effect. Sadly those that do are vastly outnumbered by the “it’s fine the planet is really big” brigade, hence global warming.
Anyone who has such a small understanding of celestial mechanics isn’t in a position to tell me how climate science works.
 

Beneteau381

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But that doesn't mean it's sustainable or that it has low impact. That wind was also doing useful things for nature, moving stuff about in the atmosphere. The earth has usually (I think) 3 layers of weather in each hemisphere. If we slow the middle one down in the UK we will also affect the tropics and polar regions, and this will have a knock on effect to the southern hemisphere. There's no free lunch. As an example if we prevent moisture being moved to where it usually goes from the atlantic there will be droughts, crops will fail, etc. all over Europe. CO2 and global warming affected climate, wind power could very well have a more direct and drastic effect on weather.
We also need to understand that "no net gain or loss" globally is not the same as energy ending up in the same place. At the extreme, imagine taking all of the solar power in the sahara and using it in the UK. The UK will be extremely hot and the sahara rather cool. This affects thermals in the atmosphere, jet stream, dust which adds shade to the atmosphere, all kinds of things most people don't even know exist let alone have considered the consequences.
Thats what I suspect is happening, here in Portugal the wind pattern seems to have changed, I note that the Azores high doesnt seem to have settled this year. Is this an indication of what we might be doing by gathering "free" energy? Discuss?
 

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Discuss in one word. Bollocks. In fact 2. Utter bollocks. The weather changes are due to hundreds of years of fossil fuel use.
OK now will l put on my nuclear attack suit, crash helmet and retreat to ..... Mars??

So weather changes / Global warming is solely due to burning fossil fuels - Correct??

So, Dinasaurs etc driving around in supercars and burning coal to keep warm were responsible for global warming and the end of the Ice age , melting the ice that left Morrains in the UK?

I am not saying we have not exacerbated the warming but it is a cycle?

I am but a a mere engineer so do not understand, (History and timescales may be distorted) but some of the theories proposed do not stand scrutiny.

I have now set sail for Greenland ( I should be so lucky) to escape the exocets.
 
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