Equinoctial gale?

It's still a bit far out for proper forecasts, but it certainly looks as if we may have some wind next week...

Can you rewrite that please. I am off to Dover from Bradwell tomorrow ( Sunday) & Boulogne on Monday. I will forget Dieppe as wind in wrong direction, but I would like a nice sail back to Bradwell by weekend, please. Up the chuff is OK, but not 30Kts
 
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I’m buying into that one.

We all know the weather has nothing to do with the equinox, but we do get plenty of bad weather at this time.

However I do think that the equinox has a lot to do with the weather.... in that as the sun 'moves' from north to south and back again it drags the big semi permanent highs with it. The effect of this is.. in my op... felt most in the 'transitional' lats... in the S. Hemisphere the 40's... weather in that part of Chile goes from NW in summer to S'ly in winter as the SE Pacific high moves back and forth.

It is very noticable in Bass Strait as the high over the continent moves south and then back again. Equinoctial gales a very much a thing...
While land gales are not so common the rainfall is a measure of it , wettest months down on the campo in SE Oz are typically March into late April and again August and September ( the campo is in 38º S).

Maybe 30 years ago Mike Harris, the Yotreps man, had a small piece published in PBO... an ancient Mediterranean weather 'Almanac' he had found which ran along the lines of ' on the 5th day after the 2nd full moon it shall blow a stinker from the west'.... seems it still holds true most of the time today.

For Bass Strait you don't need the weather man to tell you that 5 days after the southern summer solstice (Boxing Day) it shall start raining and a full SW gale shall get away on the 6th day....
My childhood Boxing Days involved sitting in a tent by the seaside, wet sand everywhere, surrounded by new 'beach toys'... goggles, fins, snorkel..... wishing someone had thought to give me a book....
And we all know what invariably happens in the eastern approaches to Bass Strait on the 6th day....
 
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However I do think that the equinox has a lot to do with the weather.... ....
Well, after a while on google seems probably not.... Not that specific anyway. Averaging out the 'best' weather is around midsummer and 'worst' is mid winter with a fairly even curve between , there isn't a spike just when the sun's geographical position happens to cross the equator. Though those days are memorable dates so our pattern loving brains remember events which happened then rather than some random Wednesday afternoon.

Interestingly now doing an at least 3rd reread of the fantastic modern marine weather by David Burch - the itcz is getting wider, the NH ocean highs are tending to be a bit further north as are the averaged out depression tracks as the planet gets warmer.
 
Or maybe autumn gale would be a better term. Equinoctial gales are a myth. Our cavemen brains do love to see patterns which don't actually exist :)

Meteorological Office:

“The implication… that gales are either more frequent or more severe near the equinoxes than at other times is not supported by observations. In all parts of the British Isles, for example, the peak frequency of moderate or severe gales is near the winter solstice and the minimum frequency near the summer solstice.”
 
I am not an un-biassed observer! I have a boat eating her head off in a Solent marina and I want her home on the East Coast as soon as possible, but the weather is not co-operating!

I think you have mentioned September gales in previous year/years . I think you are probably right
Am based in the West Country at the moment. It‘s horrible . Still quite warm though.
 
Likewise, plus a power cut. :(

Memo to self: Dig out that camping stove that one of the kids has left in the loft. I don't do well without my coffee

All the same, a bit breezy yesterday, but certainly not a gale.

Getting back to weather patterns, it does seem to me that the first couple of weeks of September are often pretty decent, often better than August.
 
A bit beyond astro dates (and possibly sensible forecast horizon), a little storm bowling with the Azores

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animation of ensemble runs
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In the distant era BC ("Before Children") I used to make a point of picking the first two weeks of September for a cruise.

Having almost arrived at After Dependency, I have gone back to that, but this year thanks to a steering gear issue I got caught out with the boat 223 miles from home...
 
I'm off to the Solent this weekend, a rare and terrifying event due to the number of boats, a F8/F9 in the shipping forecast for Wright. Nothing to do with the nudge of energy as the earth starts wobbling the other way?
 
In the distant era BC ("Before Children") I used to make a point of picking the first two weeks of September for a cruise.
......

Ditto in Bass Strait and thereabouts..... first two weeks of March = Good.. however..

Anyone making hard arrangements involving going afloat or even going camping from mid March through to the first week of April is brave indeed. For landsmen the Autumn Break, for marineros the equinoctial gales.... a general term..

If it was set in concrete that it would blow on the 21st it would be known as 'The Equinox Gale' ....it isn't.. it is more flexible than that.

Very easy to spot the change in the weather in autumn at 'around the time of the equinox'... not so easy in the spring.

Currently in Antofagasta after a very fast run up from Valdivia... very fresh right up to the TofC... but I think that was just 'weather'.
 
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