rafiki_
Well-known member
Absolutely agree with your point 8. In fact I suggested just this approach to the Poole based builder some years ago. The CEO was keen, but not the frozen middle managers. The CEO left not long afterwards. Perhaps he knew he was pushing a bolted door? Point 9, many RR’s are corporate purchases. Hotels in HK, Singapore and the Middle East are particularly keen. The trunk is specified to fit 6 full sized LV suitcases in recognition.Henry, I agree with very many of the replies that your OP has attracted, so I'll try not to repeat those. A few thoughts in no particular order, and very much imho:
1.UK boat builders should in general stop at the 70/80 foot mark. None of them has a brand that stretches significantly into the world of UHNWI (=$30m net worth) owners, which is where a Princess x95 or y95 sits (those being c£10m boats). Harsh reality is you walk into Yacht Club of Monaco - your mates say what's your new boat? - you say "Princess" - everyone sniggers. The very opposite of Sanlorenzo, Riva, Customline, Canados and many others. Princess got this all wrong when they launched their first big boat, the 32M which sold a tiny number (6?). From then on under Chris Gates leadership they just kept on digging that particular hole ( alongside some other holes) until they finally cancelled their M series but by then all shareholder value was destroyed in a 10 year slow motion car crash that was called out in real time on here many many times.
2. Sunseeker is a struggling slight exception. Their brand is such that they got some meaningful level of market penetration among the limited subset of UHNWIs who are ok with their brand positioning. But still destroyed a monumental amount of shareholder value.
3. UK boat builders make nice craft in the 40-70 foot zone where their brands work. But they need to build them VERY differently. It's all been covered before so I won't repeat. The recent Aquaholic series of videos showing 3000 people building Princesses and making plywood models and hand making wiring looms made me and everyone with a shareholder-brain just weep. So many people standing around doing nothing.
4. Jrudge has the demand/sales right in his post 12. The gradient of the "can't afford it" curve is far steeper than the UK builders ever realised. Assume you make a product people want and you price it at £0.5m. X people can afford it. Price it at £1m and perhaps 0.2X can afford it. Price it at £3m and some tiny fraction of X can afford it. Now that can be ok if your production is limited anyway, and Princess have full order books, but in order to do that they are selling at a loss, such is the awfulness of their production methods.
5. Henry I don't share your faith in KPS as a manufacturing turn-arounder. The management teams they hire do that, not KPS themselves, and no shareholder can get decent management teams into UK boat builders. The succession of Messrs Gates, Sherriff and now Green at Princess are all incapable of doing what is needed. The conundrum here is that these turnarounds need really great and brave managers, and those folks are in such demand from other financial owners that the rewards from 5 years of your life in Plymouth (or Oundle) simply aren't enough, and KPS won't/can't afford to pay any more (even in the form of dilution). By the way, your timelines in post 46 are sleepy - things need to happen much faster than that.
6. People talk of Fairline's "failure" in the sense they were in administration. Essentially the same happened at Princess - they were sold for nominal sum. It is a mere technicality, not a difference in substance, that one was in administration and the other sold for £1 or whatever. My guess is that KPS are now profoundly worried. After they acquired Princess for ~nothing in Q1 of 2023 they put £50m in, and most of that has been burnt. Latest accounts (2023) show the business burning cash at a rate in the order of 15-20m pa. That is shocking. KPS will struggle to find the money or the belief to put another £50m of good money after (imho) bad. We have nearly a year to wait before we can see how 2024 turned out.
7. Rachel Reeves isn't helping. Business owners or bonus receivers - the customers of bigger boats - are worried. Her new Employer flat tax rise (where national insurance included a £615 flat charge per employee) costs Princess is £2m pa next year.
8. So it all comes down to production for the UK builders. Their product is very good, and looks just right, and they can sell enough units even at today's sky-high prices, but they lose money on each boat. Get rid of the stand-around-do-nothing employees. Do not make your wiring looms and a million other things in-house. Do not make plywood replicas in a massive building. Get components from other places. Get rid of all those marketing folks and YouTube creators, abandon the massive stand at Dusseldorf. Break up some parts of your production by giving the businesses to new owners so they become independent suppliers and make their activity profitable. Stick at the size zone where your designs are good and your brand works. Copy the Italians. Do all this fast, literally in the next 6 months. Unless these nettles are grasped, Princess's £500m+ forward order book is nothing to be happy about - it is like 500 opportunities to sell a £1m boat at a £150,000 loss.
9. Lastly, I don't much buy any comparison with cars. I bet that most of those Rolls Royces mentioned are ordered by the owner's PA by email, with 10-15 mins input into the purchase process by an owner whose passion or care for the product is pretty limited and whose time budget for talking to a sales rep is 3 minutes - it's a tin box that fulfils a practical need for a couple of years. Boats are not like that.