For the Crabby-Ian dwellers. Early hurricane season

[Stingo]

Note the date and time

 

[veshengro]

I was reading recently about a Marina in the Florida Keys who were saying they had almost finished the clear up from the last visit by a Hurricane.

 

[john_morris_uk]

Weve been watching the same reports. We’ve got some friends who are frantically sailing south from Antigua atm. They stopped for a few hours sleep at Pigeon Island last night but are now sailing S as fast as they can. Fortunately we’re now safely(?) ashore in a sheltered spot in Grenada. Props chained together and tie downs to anchors buried in the ground being added.

 

[Stingo]

Are your tanks empty, @john_morris_uk?

 

[john_morris_uk]

Are your tanks empty, @john_morris_uk?

Fuel is toppers. We’re using the last of the water (treated with purifier stuff) to do the final cleaning etc before draining the last bits tomorrow.)

 

[capnsensible]

Passageweather has it recurving before the Windies. Fingers crossed

 

[john_morris_uk]

Unsurprisingly different weather sources are predicting different tracks.

 

[capnsensible]

Always pick the one you like best.

 

[penfold]

Always pick the one you like best.

Or draw your own if you're the Prez.

 

[Koeketiene]

Unsurprisingly different weather sources are predicting different tracks.

A man with a watch knows the time.
A man with two watches is never sure.

 

[Kelpie]

Been watching this developing. It started as a 10% chance, now up to 90%, but at the same time seems to be more and more likely to track north.
Still it's a bit worrying too have a fully developed system so early in the season. The eastern Atlantic is unusually warm which might be a factor.
We're currently anchored at Petit St Vincent, within a few hours sail of Grenada. Plan to be in Carriacou when the system is passing.

 

[john_morris_uk]

Another friend has been caught out staying too far north. They were in Anguilla and are now making a three day passage South to Curaçao.

 

[john_morris_uk]

Looks like another one might form.

 

[capnsensible]

This is from wunderground. Their previously excellent site seems to have gone off the boil over the last couple of years, sadly.

WunderMap® | Interactive Weather Map and Radar | Weather Underground

 

[Stingo]

An update for those mid-windies (Mon 19 Jun 2023)
Forecast to become a hurricane by Friday, likely over Martinique

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE

 

[capnsensible]

Passageweather now has impacting arund Marie Galant, Guadeloupe.

 

[Bajansailor]

The red 'X' in John's chart above is now Bret -
The Hurricane Watch Net - (Atlantic Products)

Windy is showing Bret swinging north of us - and thankfully most of the action seems to be in the northern quadrants, so we should hopefully have not-a-lot of wind, and probably some rain.
Hit the red button in the bottom left of this link to animate Bret.
Windy as forecasted

Passage Weather is also showing Bret going north of us - looks like we might get 20 - 25 knots from the NE, and then swinging around to the south.
Sailing Weather - Marine Weather Forecasts for Sailors and Adventurers - PassageWeather

We had Hurricane Elsa visit us in early July 2 years ago - she went south of us, so we had easterlys, which was fortunate, as many boats stayed on their moorings on the west coast (and a few decided to go on walkabout over to St Lucia, where they were towed in).
If the winds had been westerlys a lot of boats here would have ended up on the beach.

 

[Bajansailor]

The latest charts still show Bret swinging north of us, but not by much - the winds are going to be all over the place, from NE - NW and then around to SW and SE in fairly quick succession, so the sea on the west coast here will be rather confused - I think there will be lots of boats going into Port St Charles and Port Ferdinand tomorrow as a prudent safety measure.
Both marinas are obliged to accept boats until they are full in the event of a named storm heading our way.

 

[Rum_Pirate]

John are you on a Hurricane hole berth ie a 4-5’ trench dug and your yacht lifted into it?

For those in the path keep safe.

 

[Rum_Pirate]