Weather Models

[Caladh]

It would help if we had some kind of representation of confidence level and what the alternate forecasts and their confidence levels could be. No idea how this could be represented in a meaningful way though.

At one level it would be most likely wind strength, 90% confidence level it won't exceed x, 90% confidence level it won't be less than y, and direction between a-b, with a certain confidence etc.

Could that be done??

Seem to remember than MeteoFrance does give a confidence level for their forecasts.

 

[franksingleton]

Seem to remember than MeteoFrance does give a confidence level for their forecasts.

Only for their outlooks, I think. These are pretty abysmal. GFS is far more useful, IMO.

 

[westernman]

Seem to remember than MeteoFrance does give a confidence level for their forecasts.

It is not that useful if you don't know the alternative scenario is.