Surge tide for Thursday 10th

[dennyjc]

Looks like we have ideal conditions for a positive surge tide this Thursday
The high tide level may be as much as 5.0m at Walton on the afternoon tide

That should extend freeflow at the local locks - for those mad enough to be sailing
and
Flood Tollesbury, Woodbridge Quay etc etc.

 

[FullCircle]

Oh good, it is so tiresome having to walk up and down the sloping walkway onto the pontoons.

 

[Mandarin331]

But even more tiresome to walk down the slope from the pontoon to the car park on a surge tide

 

[DavidofMersea]

Looks like we have ideal conditions for a positive surge tide this Thursday
The high tide level may be as much as 5.0m at Walton on the afternoon tide

That should extend freeflow at the local locks - for those mad enough to be sailing
and
Flood Tollesbury, Woodbridge Quay etc etc.

5m is not much, it was more than that this week at Mersea - or have I missed something?

 

[sailorman]

5m is not much, it was more than that this week at Mersea - or have I missed something?

it is a 15.54 tide @ Harwich so no prob

 

[DavidofMersea]

it is a 15.54 tide @ Harwich so no prob

I think that might be the time of HW, I was talking about the hight being well over 5 metres at Mersea this week

 

[sailorman]

I think that might be the time of HW, I was talking about the hight being well over 5 metres at Mersea this week

Yes Springs, mid day ish

 

[Stork_III]

I think that might be the time of HW, I was talking about the hight being well over 5 metres at Mersea this week

Predicted tide at Walton is 4.2m, anticipated with surge 5m.

Predicted tide West Mersey 5.2m, with same surge anticipated would be 6m. That's the point.

 

[dennyjc]

5m is not much, it was more than that this week at Mersea - or have I missed something?

Yes, the surge will add 0.7m to 1.0m to the local high water
I quoted Walton as an example

Walton was expecting 4.2m but may get 5.0m
Lowestoft was expecting 2.5m but may get 3.5m
West Mersea is expecting 5.2m but may get 6.0m

Out with the cameras !

 

[sailorman]

Yes, the surge will add 0.7m to 1.0m to the local high water
I quoted Walton as an example

Walton was expecting 4.2m but may get 5.0m
Lowestoft was expecting 2.5m but may get 3.5m
West Mersea is expecting 5.2m but may get 6.0m

Out with the cameras !

We wont go into what might have been on this day

 

[Habebty]

Looks like 1.4m above predicted HW

http://www.ntslf.org/numerical-modelling/latest-surge-forecast?port=Felixstowe

 

[Stork_III]

Looks like 1.4m above predicted HW

http://www.ntslf.org/numerical-modelling/latest-surge-forecast?port=Felixstowe

1.4m surge at near LW, "only" 0.7-0.8m near HW.

 

[FullCircle]

We wont go into what might have been on this day

As I recall, even this was not enough water to keep a certain forumite off the West Mersea putty. He was so proud of that, he actually told the Coastguard.

And then we went to dinner and the sparkly pig.

 

[sailorman]

As I recall, even this was not enough water to keep a certain forumite off the West Mersea putty. He was so proud of that, he actually told the Coastguard.

And then we went to dinner and the sparkly pig.

Quite possibly

 

[Sixpence]

The rescue fleet were on the way, as I recall

 

[Athene V30]

Maybe this was the same tide when the pontoons at Brightlingsea came within a foot of the top of the posts?

Think Bernie was fed up with calls from worried boat owners!

 

[Cantata]

Can't see the conditions exist for any sort of worrying surge as the baro pressure is relatively high - still 1015 at Manston. This gale is coming from a squeeze between quite a high high and a not-very-low low. If you see what I mean. About +0.5m at Sheerness and Lowestoft right now.
Nonetheless I shall be at Hernia Bay seafront at HW this p.m. with camera ready...

 

[Pye_End]

Can't see the conditions exist for any sort of worrying surge as the baro pressure is relatively high - still 1015 at Manston. This gale is coming from a squeeze between quite a high high and a not-very-low low. If you see what I mean. About +0.5m at Sheerness and Lowestoft right now.
Nonetheless I shall be at Hernia Bay seafront at HW this p.m. with camera ready...

A bit of an easterly to push it up the estuaries might have made a difference as well. Bit of west just now so would be surprised if it made enough to cause a problem.

 

[MikeBz]

2 hours before HW and it's almost at the top of Brightlingsea Hard:

http://www.brightlingseaharbour.org/webcam.html

 

[Stork_III]

A bit of an easterly to push it up the estuaries might have made a difference as well. Bit of west just now so would be surprised if it made enough to cause a problem.

Surge at Harwich seems to be dying away, currently 0.40m down from a max of 1.08m near LW. http://apps.hha.co.uk/mis/Sensors/HarwichLevel.aspx