First Atlantic hurricane of 2007?
- Thread starter Bejasus
- Start date
H4B
New member
What happened to A B and C
Moonshining
Active member
[ QUOTE ]
What happened to A B and C
[/ QUOTE ]
From nhc.noaa.gov:
ANDREA ORIGINATED FROM A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
THAT HAD FORMED OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS ON 6 MAY...AND
GRADUALLY ACQUIRED SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. ANDREA BECAME A SUBTROPICAL STORM WHILE CENTERED ABOUT 150
MILES EAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AT 0600 UTC 9 MAY. NORTHERLY
WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR CAUSED ANDREA TO WEAKEN BELOW STORM STRENGTH
BY 1200 UTC 10 MAY AND TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW ON 11 MAY.
THE REMNANT LOW LATER BECAME ABSORBED BY A FRONT ON 14 MAY.
TROPICAL STORM BARRY FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT SPAWNED A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA ON 30 MAY. THE LOW MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON 31 MAY
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GRADUALLY BECAME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR
THE CENTER EARLY ON 1 JUNE. THE ORGANIZATION CONTINUED TO IMPROVE
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMED AT 1200 UTC 1 JUNE...JUST
NORTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. SIX HOURS LATER THE
DEPRESSION STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM. BARRY REACHED A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 60 MPH AT 0000 UTC 2 JUNE WHILE CENTERED ABOUT 150
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS. THEREAFTER...STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS RESULTED IN WEAKENING AND BARRY
MADE LANDFALL IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AROUND
1400 UTC 2 JUNE.
CHANTAL FORMED FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OF NON-TROPICAL ORIGIN
ABOUT 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA EARLY ON 31 JULY. IT
MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AT AN INCREASING FORWARD
SPEED AND REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY OF 50 MPH LATER ON 31 JULY.
CHANTAL WAS SHORT-LIVED...AND IT LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
BY EARLY ON 1 AUGUST AS IT APPROACHED SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
What happened to A B and C
[/ QUOTE ]
From nhc.noaa.gov:
ANDREA ORIGINATED FROM A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
THAT HAD FORMED OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS ON 6 MAY...AND
GRADUALLY ACQUIRED SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. ANDREA BECAME A SUBTROPICAL STORM WHILE CENTERED ABOUT 150
MILES EAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AT 0600 UTC 9 MAY. NORTHERLY
WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR CAUSED ANDREA TO WEAKEN BELOW STORM STRENGTH
BY 1200 UTC 10 MAY AND TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW ON 11 MAY.
THE REMNANT LOW LATER BECAME ABSORBED BY A FRONT ON 14 MAY.
TROPICAL STORM BARRY FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE THAT SPAWNED A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE EASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA ON 30 MAY. THE LOW MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON 31 MAY
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GRADUALLY BECAME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR
THE CENTER EARLY ON 1 JUNE. THE ORGANIZATION CONTINUED TO IMPROVE
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMED AT 1200 UTC 1 JUNE...JUST
NORTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. SIX HOURS LATER THE
DEPRESSION STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM. BARRY REACHED A PEAK
INTENSITY OF 60 MPH AT 0000 UTC 2 JUNE WHILE CENTERED ABOUT 150
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE DRY TORTUGAS. THEREAFTER...STRONG
UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS RESULTED IN WEAKENING AND BARRY
MADE LANDFALL IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AROUND
1400 UTC 2 JUNE.
CHANTAL FORMED FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OF NON-TROPICAL ORIGIN
ABOUT 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA EARLY ON 31 JULY. IT
MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AT AN INCREASING FORWARD
SPEED AND REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY OF 50 MPH LATER ON 31 JULY.
CHANTAL WAS SHORT-LIVED...AND IT LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
BY EARLY ON 1 AUGUST AS IT APPROACHED SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
Andrew_Fanner
New member
June too soon
July stand by
August look out you must
September remember
October all over
so not out of synch (GW or otherwise) or what have you I suppose.
July stand by
August look out you must
September remember
October all over
so not out of synch (GW or otherwise) or what have you I suppose.
G
Guest
Guest
"October all over"!!
1998:
12 Hurricane LISA 5-10 OCT 65 995 1
13 Hurricane MITCH 22 OCT- 9 NOV 155 905 5
14 Hurricane NICOLE 24 NOV- 2 DEC 75 979 1
1969:
14 Hurricane KARA 7-19 OCT 90 978 2
15 Hurricane LAURIE 17-27 OCT 90 973 2
17 Hurricane #17 30 OCT- 7 NOV 65 988 1
18 Hurricane MARTHA 21-25 NOV 80 979 1
As in they are all over the place!
Sorry, since this is a sailing site and there are a lot of cruisers all too committed to start across the Atlantic too early each year so that they can be home for Christmas. Our friends rode out the remnants of a hurricane 2 years ago off Africa and do not recommend it!! They are the only yacht I know that have streamed warps and gone into survival mode.
1998:
12 Hurricane LISA 5-10 OCT 65 995 1
13 Hurricane MITCH 22 OCT- 9 NOV 155 905 5
14 Hurricane NICOLE 24 NOV- 2 DEC 75 979 1
1969:
14 Hurricane KARA 7-19 OCT 90 978 2
15 Hurricane LAURIE 17-27 OCT 90 973 2
17 Hurricane #17 30 OCT- 7 NOV 65 988 1
18 Hurricane MARTHA 21-25 NOV 80 979 1
As in they are all over the place!
Sorry, since this is a sailing site and there are a lot of cruisers all too committed to start across the Atlantic too early each year so that they can be home for Christmas. Our friends rode out the remnants of a hurricane 2 years ago off Africa and do not recommend it!! They are the only yacht I know that have streamed warps and gone into survival mode.
Bajansailor
Well-known member
You forgot Hurricane Lenny in mid November 1999 - he formed in the middle of the Caribbean Sea, and then proceeded to head east, in very cheerful defiance of popular opinion as to what he 'should' be doing..... and he created a fair bit of havoc along the way....
While Hurricane Mitch the year before (in October I think) pulverised Honduras and the Bay Islands with 150 knots sustained.
Latest forecasts has Dean going just north of us - so we are still going to get some pretty strong westerlys. Oh joy. /forums/images/graemlins/frown.gif
PS - here are a few interesting websites for Caribbean and Atlantic weather :
Here is an animated map that shows what Dean has been up to recently :
http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/AtlanticSatellite.aspx?animate=true
Here is the Hurricane Watch net homepage : http://www.hwn.org/home/atlantic.html
Here is the animated loop for the Caribbean : http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/CaribbeanSatellite.aspx?animate=true
And here is the Tropical Weather Discussion from NOAA : http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml
And the Water Vapour photo for the Caribbean from the NOAA GOES satellite : http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh3.html
While Hurricane Mitch the year before (in October I think) pulverised Honduras and the Bay Islands with 150 knots sustained.
Latest forecasts has Dean going just north of us - so we are still going to get some pretty strong westerlys. Oh joy. /forums/images/graemlins/frown.gif
PS - here are a few interesting websites for Caribbean and Atlantic weather :
Here is an animated map that shows what Dean has been up to recently :
http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/AtlanticSatellite.aspx?animate=true
Here is the Hurricane Watch net homepage : http://www.hwn.org/home/atlantic.html
Here is the animated loop for the Caribbean : http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/CaribbeanSatellite.aspx?animate=true
And here is the Tropical Weather Discussion from NOAA : http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWDAT.shtml
And the Water Vapour photo for the Caribbean from the NOAA GOES satellite : http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh3.html
AJW
New member
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What happened to A B and C
[/ QUOTE ]
CHANTAL FORMED FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OF NON-TROPICAL ORIGIN
ABOUT 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA EARLY ON 31 JULY. IT
MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AT AN INCREASING FORWARD
SPEED AND REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY OF 50 MPH LATER ON 31 JULY.
CHANTAL WAS SHORT-LIVED...AND IT LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
BY EARLY ON 1 AUGUST AS IT APPROACHED SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
[/ QUOTE ]
Chantal made quite the mess here in Newfoundland. 90-150cm or rain in less than 24hrs.
Pics here: http://www.cbc.ca/photogallery/_canada.h...gallery_600.xml
[ QUOTE ]
What happened to A B and C
[/ QUOTE ]
CHANTAL FORMED FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OF NON-TROPICAL ORIGIN
ABOUT 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA EARLY ON 31 JULY. IT
MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AT AN INCREASING FORWARD
SPEED AND REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY OF 50 MPH LATER ON 31 JULY.
CHANTAL WAS SHORT-LIVED...AND IT LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
BY EARLY ON 1 AUGUST AS IT APPROACHED SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
[/ QUOTE ]
Chantal made quite the mess here in Newfoundland. 90-150cm or rain in less than 24hrs.
Pics here: http://www.cbc.ca/photogallery/_canada.h...gallery_600.xml
snowleopard
Active member
Second that. During the first week of ARC 2001 we were hearing reports of a hurricane wandering around the Caribbean. That was the last week of November.
I would aim for 1 Dec as a good start date from the Canaries. 'October all over' is a dangerous fallacy.
I would aim for 1 Dec as a good start date from the Canaries. 'October all over' is a dangerous fallacy.
Salty John
Active member
Spot on. We always left Chesapeake Bay mid October to head south and there was never a year we were't dodging hurricanes.
G
Guest
Guest
There was a reference to the dreaded "GW" so I picked years that showed the problem from a little way back just to avoid the normal hysteria.
How about 1870:
Hurricane #6 5-14 OCT 100 959 3
7 Hurricane #7 7- 7 OCT 70 - 1
8 Hurricane #8 10-11 OCT 70 - 1
9 Hurricane #9 19-22 OCT 90 - 2
10 Hurricane #10 23-23 OCT 90 - 2
11 Hurricane #11 30 OCT- 3 NOV 70 - 1
How about 1870:
Hurricane #6 5-14 OCT 100 959 3
7 Hurricane #7 7- 7 OCT 70 - 1
8 Hurricane #8 10-11 OCT 70 - 1
9 Hurricane #9 19-22 OCT 90 - 2
10 Hurricane #10 23-23 OCT 90 - 2
11 Hurricane #11 30 OCT- 3 NOV 70 - 1
G
Guest
Guest
Try this site if you want to see for yourself what really happens:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/
Bajansailor
Well-known member
Excellent site, thank you!
Sorry, I didnt see that you had already mentioned Mitch above..... my mind was a bit pre-occupied with Dean.
Is it just coincidental that the major hurricanes recently have all been blokes rather than ladies?
Sorry, I didnt see that you had already mentioned Mitch above..... my mind was a bit pre-occupied with Dean.
Is it just coincidental that the major hurricanes recently have all been blokes rather than ladies?
G
Guest
Guest
Noticed your location. Whoops!
Try this page to see it rotate.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/loop-wv.html
tick the box "Trop Fcst" at the top to see it diverge from the predicted path
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html
Try this page to see it rotate.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/loop-wv.html
tick the box "Trop Fcst" at the top to see it diverge from the predicted path
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html
Twister_Ken
Well-known member
>Is it just coincidental that the major hurricanes recently have all been blokes rather than ladies? <
Errr - Katrina?
Errr - Katrina?
G
Guest
Guest
This is the most up to date info I can find. Anyway we will know by tomorrow 12Z. Stay safe.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
mandlmaunder
New member
The 1 thing I now know for certain about Hurricanes and such natural stuff is that both Poetry and common knowledge have NO effect on what these damded things are going to do.
I will be moving my cat to a registered Hurricane hole on St John tomorrow PM. then x-ing all crossible bits that this thing goes else where.
Good luck Bajansailor
I will be moving my cat to a registered Hurricane hole on St John tomorrow PM. then x-ing all crossible bits that this thing goes else where.
Good luck Bajansailor
Bajansailor
Well-known member
Ooops, sorry Ken, I had kinda forgotten about Katrina.... yes, she (un)fairly clobbered the poor folk of New Orleans rather badly.
Most of the rest seem to have been blokes - they should have kept it all sexist, with just ladie's names, like what they used to do up until about 25 years ago or so.
Dean is finally starting to swing northwards (phew!), so it looks like we will just get some big seas coming in from the west and some strongish (gale force max I hope) winds. This will still cause carnage on the west coast here though, as many properties are less than 50m. from the sea, and many are virtually on the beach.
I feel sorry for whoever gets a direct hit - he will probably be a hurricane by tomorrow, and it looks like he could be aiming for Martinique or Dominica now, based on current predictions.
The weather forecast on TV here this evening was talking about a 15' swell on Friday..... the surfers will be out enmasse.....
Most of the rest seem to have been blokes - they should have kept it all sexist, with just ladie's names, like what they used to do up until about 25 years ago or so.
Dean is finally starting to swing northwards (phew!), so it looks like we will just get some big seas coming in from the west and some strongish (gale force max I hope) winds. This will still cause carnage on the west coast here though, as many properties are less than 50m. from the sea, and many are virtually on the beach.
I feel sorry for whoever gets a direct hit - he will probably be a hurricane by tomorrow, and it looks like he could be aiming for Martinique or Dominica now, based on current predictions.
The weather forecast on TV here this evening was talking about a 15' swell on Friday..... the surfers will be out enmasse.....
Bejasus
New member
Dean now upgraded to hurricane status.
Projected track
Looks like Pprt de France, Jamaica and Cancun likely to take the big hits. Barbados will be uncomfortable at least.
Good luck to Bajansailor and others in the region.
Projected track
Looks like Pprt de France, Jamaica and Cancun likely to take the big hits. Barbados will be uncomfortable at least.
Good luck to Bajansailor and others in the region.