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Deleted User YDKXO
Guest
The second is re. 7 or 10 boats being a problem bound to lead to insolvency.
We had several small yards in Italy, widely recognised by connoisseurs as among the best boatbuilders of the planet in their own segments, who used to make money and progress even with such small numbers.
Of course, when the situation changed overnight from having a 3 years order book for those 10 boats to zero new orders - which is what happened after the global financial meltdown - anyone would have had a problem.
And it's not like those who were much bigger, with a financial leverage exploited beyond reason, eventually got much better results - aside from finding some Chinese folks with more money than sense willing to rescue them.... :ambivalence:
In fact, if there's one thing of what Pete told us about new FL strategies that I found a bit weird, is that they are already aiming at reaching a 3 digits number of boats per year.
What for, I wonder? If industries didn't learn a lesson about sustainable growth after 2008, I'm afraid they never will...
Well yes and no. The thing about those smaller manufacturers building 7 boats a year and doing nicely is that, by definition, they are inevitably focussed on either a single niche segment in the market or a geographical niche so when that niche disappears they have no other niches to fall back on. I have seen it time and again since 2008. There is a balancing act with any manufacturer in any industry. They must focus on enough market segments to reduce risk if one of those segments should disappear but at the same time they must not be spread too thinly across those segments such that their offering to each segment is diluted. In Fairline's case they have probably concluded that 100 units a year is that balance point and no doubt they have also concluded that the market will absorb 100 units per year. Not only that but they already have the capability in terms of their manufacturing capacity and their dealer network to make and sell those 100 units. To me it seems a fairly modest and achievable target when Princess/Sunseeker are building 200-300 boats a year each. Also targeting a smaller number of units could have been self defeating. What would have happened to their dealer network if Fairline had decided to target just 20 units a year? No dealer would have been happy selling just 1-2 boats a year so most of their dealer network would have jumped ship and Fairline's ability to sell would have gone with them. As I say there needs to be a balance of risk, profitability and sustainability and 100 units sounds about right to me