roaringgirl
Well-Known Member
Thanks for the anecdote, but you might have guessed by now that I am an academic and rather more fond of systematic evidence. For every single anecdote of a boat having a problem there are thousands who don't and for every one that involves a modern boat with fin and spade you can find one that involves a long keel boat.
It is relying on anecdotes that closes our minds. We have a saying in my discipline "A way of seeing is a way of not seeing". So if you go looking for examples of fin keeled boats failing in some way that is what you will find. If you go looking for failed transom hung rudders you will find those too. You might find Karl Popper a useful read on one of your long night watches. You might then come to the conclusion that to really understand what is going on you need to collect data on all failures, analyse the causes and see if you can find demonstrable patterns. Clearly impossible but it is lazy thinking to assume that anecdotes have any more value than to find out exactly what went wrong in that case. Extrapolating from the single case to the general is not good.
As to choice for circumnavigation there are many more who made different choices and achieved their objective. Just look at the number of modern fin keeled yachts built in Europe that now wander around the Pacific and Australasia. How do you think they got there? Or the number of Australians who have bought ex charter boats in the Med and sailed them back home. Just a couple of examples to show that the old style boats are not a prerequisite for ocean sailing. It would be depressing if they were as it would mean there has been no worthwhile development in Yacht design for over 50 years.
I am perhaps not explaining myself well, I agree anecdotal evidence is not statistically significant. Failures occur in all sorts of designs, the point I'm trying to make (perhaps clumsily) is that some designs make failures easier to manage than others.