Weekend Weather Forecast

simonjk

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6 Mar 2003
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Hello again,

A real topsy-turvey weekend ahead, with the weather still not making it's mind up about which way it wants to go. Some real contrasts in temperature between the north and the south. Monday is still questionable, hence the reason I haven't included it in this forecast.

If you need to talk to a forecaster we are here all weekend. It's me on Saturday, then John on Sunday and Monday. The number is 09061 991 189 and that costs £1.50 per minute. Or, if you prefer to pay by credit card call 08700 738 100 (you can use that number from abroad as well), state you want to pay by credit card as soon as the call is answered, and then you'll pay £10 for the whole call.

Remember, this number changes to 090 666 444 80 as of 1st June.

Don't forget, your friends can subscribe to this forecast by emailing sailingweather-subscribe@weatherweb.net

Have a good weekend,
Simon

Simon Keeling
www.weatherweb.net
Weather Consultancy Services




WEEKEND SAILING FORECAST
Issued: 1030 Thursday 26th May 2005

FRIDAY

Low pressure to the southwest of Ireland through Friday. This is going to be drifting northwards and will be deepening. A warm front extends through northern parts of Ireland and northern England, these edging northwards. A showery trough seems likely to pass eastwards though the English Channel in the morning and afternoon.
Much of Ireland will have heavy periods of rain through the day, these moving into southwest Scotland later. Lighter drizzle over southeast Ireland, with drizzle, mist and fog affecting much of the western Channel, west Wales and southwest England.
Drier and brighter for much of eastern Wales, central and eastern England, although showers are likely to move across southeast England through the morning and afternoon, most of these scattered. A hot day in the southeast.
The far north of Scotland should remain dry throughout, although rain into southern and central Scotland by the evening.
Winds will be SE 15-25kt (F5) over Ireland, increasing to 20-25kt (F6) later. Mainly SE 10-14kt (F3 occ F4) over southeast England. E 15-25kt (F4-F5) over northern ireland and northern England. Mainly ENE-NE 10-14kt (F3-F4) over northern Scotland.


SATURDAY
The low passes to the north of Northern Ireland through Saturday. An occluded front through northern Scotland and then wrapped around central parts of Ireland, with a cold front clearing eastern England. The low bringing strong to gale force winds for much of the west and north.
Broken cloud and showers across central Ireland, with sunshine and showers in Scotland. Thicker cloud across northwest England later, bringing a few showers here. For most of southern England and Wales it is going to be breezy but bright with sunny spells. It should be generally dry, although a risk of a showers on western coasts of England and Wales.
Winds mainly SW 20-28kt (F6 occ F7) in the west. 30-35kt (F7-F8) across Ireland. SW 17-20kt (F4-F5) in the English Channel. The winds should ease later.


SUNDAY
Low pressure arced across Scotland and Ireland through Sunday. A ridge of high pressure builds to the south. However, there is a risk of a thundery rough nudging into the far southeast in the afternoon.
For most of England and Wales the day should be dry with sunny spells, just a scattered shower for the afternoon. For the southeast quarter of England there will be more high cloud, making for hazy sunshine.
The far southeast may have thicker cloud, this bringing thundery outbreaks of rain, extending through the central and eastern Channel and into northern France. Visibility will be moderate or poor.
Across Scotland and Ireland the low pressure may bring some showers, although there will be sunny spells between them.
Winds variable 2-7kt (F2-F3) in the south, mainly SW 12kt (F3) over northern England, Scotland and Scotland.


**ends**
 

Sans Bateau

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19 Jan 2004
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Simon

Thank you, I am very pleased to report that the weather was not as bad a forcast last weekend, for the Kids Out event in Chichester harbour.
 

Toutvabien

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17 Sep 2002
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It seems that the coming weekend is difficult to call. How confident are you of these forecasts? The ECMWF charts seem to be changing quite significantly in recent days, their latest http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind% charts seem to imply that the position is not completely sorted as to the angle at which the low pressure system will pass over England and Wales on Saturday and Sunday. The recent ECMWF forecast appears, to my unprofessional eyes, slightly more hopeful for decent weather this weekend than the one that was issued last night. Ever the opotomist I will keep an eye on the developing situation.

I have been trying to track the progress, actual and forecast, of the various weather systems at play this week with a view to a trip this weekend. It has been absolutely fascinating, but I hark fondly back to when I did not have access to synotic charts from about five different Met Offices and had to rely upon the little weather chart in the Guardian and the BBC shipping forecast to help me plan my trips.
 

ranga

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3 Sep 2001
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and for Melbourne...cos this is an international forum

Friday
Southwesterly wind at 20 to 30 knots becoming general this morning then wind
easing to 20 to 25 knots later. Waves around 1 to 2 metres. A strong wind
warning is current.

Saturday
Southwesterly winds of 15 to 20 knots, reaching 25 knots at times during the
morning.

Sunday
Southwesterly winds of 10 to 15 knots.

Monday
West to southwesterly winds of 10 to 15 knots.
 

Lakesailor

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15 Feb 2005
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Geelong is across the bay

MIN: 8 °C MAX: 14 °C

Showery and cold, with a gusty southwesterly wind. CORIO BAY: Southwesterlies up to 25-30 knots at first, then moderating. Waves around half to one metre and possibly higher at times.

Indentical to Lake Windermere. Spooky?
 
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