This time next year

[BlackPig]

HI all I have planned on doing a dry run to the Azores, using weather forecasts and my charts. So this thread should have the weather for the next 4 weeks for the trip. If I miss any due to work then please feel free to update it. Please put comments at "If the weather is like that! I would...." to keep this run easer to read.

sites used are:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine/shipping_printable.html

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/

 

[BlackPig]

26th May

Forecast:

Wight, Portland, Plymouth

West or southwest, veering northwest, 6 to gale 8. Moderate or rough, becoming very rough or high for a time in Portland and Plymouth. Showers. Good


Biscay

Northwesterly, 4 or 5 in south, 5 to 7 in north. Moderate or rough, becoming very rough or high. Showers. Good


Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Wed 25 May)

Cyclonic 4 or 5 in southeast, otherwise northeasterly 6 to gale 8. Slight or moderate in southeast, rough or very rough in northwest. Showers. Good, occasionally poor in southeast


FitzRoy

Northwesterly in north at first, otherwise northerly or northeasterly 5 to 7, occasionally gale 8. Rough or very rough, occasionally high in north. Showers. Good



Current sea state:

Station 62103
UK Met Office
Location: 49.900N 2.9W
Conditions as of:
Thu, 26 May 2011 06:00:00 UTC
Winds: WSW (250°) at 29.9 kt
Significant Wave Height: 9.2 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.87 in and falling
Air Temperature: 53.4 F
Dew Point: 48.0 F
Water Temperature: 53.6 F
Visibility: 5 nmi

 

[markdj]

Might be useful for you to use my weather portal as a stepping stone to compare forecasts... not many have reliable long range wind forecasts.

 

[BlackPig]

27th May

German Bight, Humber, Thames, Dover, Wight, Portland, Plymouth

Southwesterly in east German Bight at first, otherwise northwesterly backing westerly or southwesterly 5 to 7, decreasing 4 or 5 for a time. Moderate or rough. Showers, occasional rain later. Good


Biscay

Northerly or northwesterly, veering northeasterly in south, 4 or 5, occasionally 6 in north at first. Rough, becoming moderate. Fair. Good


Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Thu 26 May)

Variable 4 at times in southeast otherwise mainly easterly or northeasterly 5 to 7, occasionally gale 8 in northwest. Slight or moderate in southeast, otherwise rough or very rough. Thundery showers. Moderate or good, occasionally poor

Weather Buoy

Station 62103
UK Met Office
Location: 49.900N 2.9W
Conditions as of:
Fri, 27 May 2011 07:00:00 UTC
Winds: NW (320°) at 21.0 kt
Significant Wave Height: 4.3 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.15 in and rising
Air Temperature: 50.7 F
Water Temperature: 53.4 F
Visibility: 11 nmi

 

[Noddy]

Forecast:

Wight, Portland, Plymouth

West or southwest, veering northwest, 6 to gale 8. Moderate or rough, becoming very rough or high for a time in Portland and Plymouth. Showers. Good

Well, with that forecast I'm out to cross the starting line on the gun and then back into plymouth for a beer and some very tall stories!

Paul

 

[BlackPig]

28th May

Portland, Plymouth

West or southwest 4 or 5, increasing 6 for a time. Slight or moderate. Occasional rain. Moderate or good


Biscay

Variable 3 or 4, becoming southwesterly 4 or 5 in north. Slight or moderate. Fair. Good


Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Fri 27 May)

Northeasterly 5 to 7, occasionally gale 8 at first in south Fitzroy, becoming cyclonic 4 or 5 later in southeast Trafalgar. Moderate or rough. Thundery showers. Moderate or good, occasionally poor



Station 62103
UK Met Office
Location: 49.900N 2.9W
Conditions as of:
Sat, 28 May 2011 05:00:00 UTC
Winds: W (260°) at 25.1 kt
Significant Wave Height: 1.6 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.10 in and falling
Air Temperature: 53.4 F
Dew Point: 44.8 F
Water Temperature: 53.6 F
Visibility: 11 nmi

 

[helixkimara]

VERY VERY LONG RANGE FORECAST (NOTE; THIS IS FOR 2012)

Just had a forecast for Sunday 27th May 2012.

For sea area's Portland, Sole, Fitzroy, Azores: Up until 15th June.

North East 3 - 4 increasing 6 (just for 2 1/2 hours)
Slight
Good
Good

15th June -22nd. June 2012 Sunny, light breeze on the beach.

23rd June - 10th July 2012

South West 3 - 4 increasing 6 (just for 1/2 hour). slight, good, good

Information from:
www.whateveryouwanttohear.com This forecast only cost me £15.00 sent in advance

NOTE: I'M THINKING OF INVESTING IN THIS NEW DOT COM.

 

[Pye_End]

I think I woud prefer a nice beam reach so it is not too rolly polly. Have sent my £15. Am told you will need a further £15 to change it back.

Black Pig - Have you theoretically left, of are you theoretically still sitting in Plymouth finding new bigs of gear that need sorting before you can go?

 

[BlackPig]

29th May

Portland, Plymouth

Southwest 5 or 6, decreasing 3 or 4. Slight or moderate. Occasional drizzle. Good, occasionally poor


Biscay, FitzRoy

Northeasterly 4 or 5, occasionally 6 at first in southeast Fitzroy, but variable 3 or 4 in north. Slight or moderate, occasionally rough in Fitzroy. Rain or showers. Moderate or good


Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Sat 28 May)

Cyclonic or northeasterly 5 or 6, occasionally 7 in south Fitzroy, but variable 3 or 4 in north Fitzroy. Moderate or rough. Showers. Good, occasionally poor


Station 62103
UK Met Office
Location: 49.900N 2.9W
Conditions as of:
Sun, 29 May 2011 05:00:00 UTC
Winds: SW (230°) at 22.9 kt
Significant Wave Height: 2.3 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.97 in and falling
Air Temperature: 53.6 F
Dew Point: 52.7 F
Water Temperature: 53.8 F
Visibility: 2 nmi

 

[helixkimara]

I think I woud prefer a nice beam reach so it is not too rolly polly. Have sent my £15. Am told you will need a further £15 to change it back.

Black Pig - Have you theoretically left, of are you theoretically still sitting in Plymouth finding new bigs of gear that need sorting before you can go?

Absolutely right. They said they'd change it to the North Then The South, No problem
(£12.75. discount for regular user)

 

[BlackPig]

30th May

Humber, Thames, Dover, Wight, Portland, Plymouth

Mainly south or southwest 3 or 4, occasionally 5 at first, veering west or northwest 4 or 5, increasing 6 at times in Portland and Plymouth later. Slight or moderate, becoming moderate or rough in Plymouth later. Rain or drizzle then showers, fog patches. Moderate occasionally very poor, becoming good


Biscay, FitzRoy

Variable mainly northerly or northwesterly 4 or 5, increasing 6 or 7 in south Fitzroy. Moderate or rough. Rain or showers then fair. Good, occasionally poor


Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Sun 29 May)

Cyclonic becoming northerly or northwesterly 4 or 5, increasing 6 or 7 in northeast later. Slight in southeast, otherwise moderate, but becoming rough in northeast later. Thundery showers. Moderate or good


Station 62103
UK Met Office
Location: 49.900N 2.9W
Conditions as of:
Mon, 30 May 2011 05:00:00 UTC
Winds: S (190°) at 15.0 kt
Significant Wave Height: 1.6 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.88 in and falling
Air Temperature: 54.3 F
Dew Point: 54.3 F
Water Temperature: 53.8 F
Visibility: 2 nmi

 

[BlackPig]

Black Pig - Have you theoretically left, of are you theoretically still sitting in Plymouth finding new bigs of gear that need sorting before you can go?

I would have sat in Plymouth for the 27th. I would have thought the start time would have been delayed 24hrs. If not would have left the morning of 28th.

 

[BlackPig]

31st May

Humber, Thames, Dover, Wight, Portland, Plymouth

West or northwest 4 or 5, occasionally 6 except in Humber and Thames. Moderate or rough in Plymouth, otherwise slight or moderate. Showers then fair. Moderate or good


Biscay

Northwest 4 or 5 veering northeast 3 or 4. Moderate or rough. Showers then fair. Good, occasionally poor at first


Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Mon 30 May)

Northerly 5 to 7, occasionally 4 in south. Slight or moderate in southeast, otherwise moderate or rough. Showers. Good


Station 62103
UK Met Office
Location: 49.900N 2.9W
Conditions as of:
Tue, 31 May 2011 06:00:00 UTC
Winds: WNW (300°) at 19.0 kt
Significant Wave Height: 2.6 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.13 in and rising
Air Temperature: 50.9 F
Dew Point: 42.3 F
Water Temperature: 53.4 F
Visibility: 11 nmi

 

[BlackPig]

1st June

Wight, Portland, Plymouth

West or northwest, veering northeast later, 3 or 4, increasing 5 for a time near coasts. Smooth or slight, occasionally moderate. Fair. Good


Biscay

Northerly or northeasterly 4 or 5, occasionally 6 in east. Moderate or rough. Fair. Good


Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Tue 31 May)

Northerly or northeasterly 5 to 7, decreasing 4 in southwest. Moderate or rough. Fair. Good


Brittany Buoy Not Channel buoy

Station 62163
UK Met Office
Location: 47.500N 8.5W
Conditions as of:
Wed, 01 Jun 2011 05:00:00 UTC
Winds: N (360°) at 1.9 kt
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.13 in and rising
Water Temperature: 66.2 F

Plymouth
Shipping Forecast - Issued: 0405 UTC Wed 01 Jun

Wind
West or northwest, veering northeast later, 3 or 4, increasing 5 for a time near coasts.
Sea State
Smooth or slight, occasionally moderate.
Weather
Fair.
Visibility
Good.

For faster boats

FitzRoy
Gale warnings - Issued: 0934 UTC Tue 31 May

Northerly gale force 8 imminent
Shipping Forecast - Issued: 0405 UTC Wed 01 Jun

Wind
In south, northeasterly 6 to gale 8. In north, southwesterly, becoming variable, 3 or 4.
Sea State
In south, rough. in north, moderate, occasionally rough at first.
Weather
Fair.
Visibility
Good.

 

[Noddy]

As you get further from the coast you might be more interested in synoptic charts than coastal forecasts:

http://www.stronge.org.uk/charts/

I was recieving fax code via short wave radio en route and could display these charts on a PC. I guess you could have a satelite link if funds permitted.

You could argue that you can't do anything about the weather even if you know its coming - didn't Blondie call the barometer the 'most useless thing on board?'

P

 

[BlackPig]

Portland, Plymouth

Northerly or northeasterly 4 or 5, occasionally 6 in south. Slight or moderate. Fair. Good

Biscay

Mainly northerly or northeasterly 5 or 6, but variable 4 in far south. Moderate or rough. Fair. Good

Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Wed 01 Jun)

Easterly or northeasterly 4 or 5, increasing 5 to 7 in north at first and southeast later. Moderate occasionally rough in north. Fair. Good


Station 62163
UK Met Office
Location: 47.500N 8.5W
Conditions as of:
Thu, 02 Jun 2011 19:00:00 UTC
Winds: NE (40°) at 15.9 kt
Significant Wave Height: 7.5 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.46 in and falling
Air Temperature: 57.0 F
Dew Point: 52.3 F
Water Temperature: 58.6 F

 

[BlackPig]

3rd June

Portland, Plymouth, North Biscay

Northerly or northeasterly 5 or 6. Slight or moderate. Fair. Moderate or good

South Biscay

Cyclonic 4 or 5, decreasing 3 at times. Slight or moderate. Thundery showers. Good, occasionally poor
T

rafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Thu 02 Jun)

Easterly or northeasterly 4 or 5, increasing 6 or 7 at times in southeast and northwest. Moderate or rough. Fair. Good

Station 62163
UK Met Office
Location: 47.500N 8.5W
Conditions as of:
Fri, 03 Jun 2011 10:00:00 UTC
Winds: NE (40°) at 18.1 kt
Significant Wave Height: 7.2 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.35 in and falling
Air Temperature: 58.6 F
Dew Point: 54.5 F
Water Temperature: 58.5 F

 

[helixkimara]

Salty wants to know "Are we nearly there yet"

 

[BlackPig]

As I tell my kids "walking distance" if they keep asking

Position
end of day 1: still in harbour.
end of day 2: 49d 50'n 5d 00'w
end of day 3: 49d 25'n 6d 40'w
end of day 4: 49d 00'n 10d 00'w
end of day 5: 48d 00'n 11d 50'w
end of day 6: 46d 45'n 13d 45'w
end of day 7: 46d 00'n 16d 20'w

Nearly half way on day 7, Will be just over half way when I do the charts again.

 

[BlackPig]

4th June

West Wight, Portland, Plymouth, North Biscay

Northerly or northeasterly 4 or 5, occasionally 6. Slight or moderate. Thundery showers. Moderate or good, occasionally poor later

South Biscay

Cyclonic 4 or 5. Slight or moderate. Thundery showers. Moderate or poor

Trafalgar (Issued 2315 UTC Fri 03 Jun)

Easterly 6 to gale 8 in far southeast, otherwise mainly northerly 5 or 6, occasionally 7 in far northwest. Moderate or rough. Fair. Moderate or good


Station 62029
UK Met Office
Location: 48.701N 12.401W
Conditions as of:
Sat, 04 Jun 2011 04:00:00 UTC
Winds: NNE (20°) at 21.0 kt
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.39 in and falling
Air Temperature: 54.9 F
Dew Point: 53.8 F


Station 62163
UK Met Office
Location: 47.500N 8.5W
Conditions as of:
Sat, 04 Jun 2011 04:00:00 UTC
Winds: NNE (20°) at 17.1 kt
Significant Wave Height: 6.6 ft
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.19 in and falling
Air Temperature: 59.2 F
Dew Point: 55.4 F
Water Temperature: 58.6 F