Swell prediction in South Biscay

snorkmaiden

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I am aware of the websites that give swell predictions - my question is specifically what conditions in the Atlantic mean that we will have dangerous onshore swell on the Northern coast of Spain (Asturias)? We will have access to Navtex and possibly Spanish VHF weather bulletins as we approach the coast. At the moment there is no sign of a settled Atlantic high. I want to know what to watch for - deep low pressure centres? How fast does swell approach from a centre of low pressure. Anything else about the Asturias Coast - Gijon to Santander.
 
There is a program called Buoyed weather which uses boys out in Biscay. It is pretty accurate and you can use it to do passage planning across as it will give you the expected weather at certain positions along the way. I believe you can get a months free trial
 
One thing to watch for along that coast is significant swell opposed by local wind (and hence local waves), which is not uncommon when the Iberian low is well established: it gives a confused, lumpy sea which can be unpleasant, if not usually dangerous.
 
I used to get that via work ,then the cheap skates cancelled the subscription....they sold the business for 1.2 BILLION - but wont give me decent weather forecasting services ...ask the bridge is their usually retort !
 
Yes that is the one... because it uses buoys off the coast you get a good indication of the swell. At least there is a 16 day free trial to see if it works for you.
We found it to be very accurate.

What they call "virtual buoys" are simply model interpolations for whatever coordinate one chooses, their site indicates the model run being used...

"Real" buoys report obviously recorded condtions only, not forecasts: type 62001 ("Gascogne" buoy) and choose the product here
http://www.meteo.shom.fr/qctools/dataplotsurfmar.htm
or here depending on the type of display you prefer
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=62001
They give prevalent wave height, period and direction, so it has some usefulness just bear in mind the values are average of combined swell and wind-driven sea state.

The Spanish forecasts by VHF (or navtex) indicate swell height: "mar de fondo", it's easy to distinguish as "mar de fondo" is expressed in metres, while live sea state in DOuglas (marejada, fuerte marejada, gruesa, etc).

Should you have internet access, this product is interesting for the northern coast of Spain, as it differentiates between swell (white arrows) and live sea state (green arrows): look here for example some cross sea is forecast (green arrows perpendicular to white ones) for Cape Finisterre area

hs18.gif

( the image may have changed when you have a look)
anyway, full set of charts here:
http://www.puertos.es/sites/default/files/contenidosExternos/Predolas/mapas_todas_cant_h.html

This one instead gives individual forecasts for local ports (Gijon, Aviles, etc), this an example of cross seas around Gijon

http://www.puertos.es/content/prediccionlocaldeoleaje

hs60.jpg
 
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