Surge prediction

[Hydrozoan]

Or see the same for a progression of sites down the East Coast, with their surge predictions as well, here - courtesy of dennyjc at #51:
http://www.shotleypyc.org/2017/01/13/tracking-the-surge-down-the-east-coast/

It's interesting to see the progression I think, unless you are solely interested in just one place. Again, refresh the page to update.

Edit: Beat me to it!

 

[Hadenough]

Here's a useful little chart showing actual vs astronomical prediction for Harwich...

Refresh to load the latest data.

Keep up! #58

 

[pvb]

Keep up! #58

You posted a static screen grab; I posted the actual source chart, which is real-time updateable by refreshing. Detail, but useful detail!

 

[Hadenough]

You posted a static screen grab; I posted the actual source chart, which is real-time updateable by refreshing. Detail, but useful detail!

http://www.ntslf.org/data/realtime?port=Harwich

So perhaps the link would be even better!

As usual, loads of posturing getting in the way of useful information for people who are - perhaps- actually in the middle of it!

 

[Happyboating]

Have just spoken to Lee in the yard at Fox's who told us that the first surge has been and gone - apparently it rose by a meter but then went down again. The C pontoon ramp is already level so, clearly, the tide is going to be high.

 

[Javelin]

We currently have 10" in our shed 3 and about 6" in Shed 1

 

[Bru]

As I posted elsewhere, we floated (we're in a mud berth) at least an hour and a half sooner than I'd expect on the predicted tide.

 

[pks1702]

Moving down the coast, high water has been and gone is on its way down at Great Yarmouth with no issues reported. Hopefully on its way down for you soon Javelin.

 

[Hadenough]

Have just spoken to Lee in the yard at Fox's who told us that the first surge has been and gone - apparently it rose by a meter but then went down again. The C pontoon ramp is already level so, clearly, the tide is going to be high.

Interesting, just a steady but higher than predicted rise in the Deben. Almost as if the surge passes the upper reaches by, although in 2013 it peaked, Dropped 50mm, everyone breathed a sigh - and then it rose another 100mm. Fingers crossed.

 

[Hadenough]

We currently have 10" in our shed 3 and about 6" in Shed 1

Hope the damage is not too bad, thoughts with you.

 

[sailorman]

2013 surge
http://www.ybw.com/forums/showthrea...-as-well!&highlight=tidal+surge+december+2013

 

[Hydrozoan]

... in 2013 it peaked, Dropped 50mm, everyone breathed a sigh - and then it rose another 100mm. Fingers crossed.

I remember it well: http://www.ntslf.org/data/realtime?port=Harwich&from=20131205&span=4

One cannot recover the surge predictions for that time, but it seems that the surge peaked before the predicted HW, so the level fell back a little before increasing again.

 

[sailorman]

I remember it well: http://www.ntslf.org/data/realtime?port=Harwich&from=20131205&span=4

One cannot recover the surge predictions for that time, but it seems that the surge peaked before the predicted HW, so the level fell back a little before increasing again.

Yes by about 600mm if i remember correctly by my depth sounder & it was a very cold wind too

 

[Hadenough]

http://www.ntslf.org/data/realtime?port=Harwich&from=20131203&span=5

Horribly similar to today!

 

[pks1702]

Press reporting Lowestoft ok but Oulton Broad having some issues. Walton RNLI forecasting 1.40 metre surge arond midnight in their area.

 

[sailorman]

HHA gauge now 1.12m surge what @ 1 hr to HW

 

[WF36]

Complete non event - on the Orwell.

 

[Javelin]

03:00 in the morning, been washing out since just after 12.
Shed 3 done, shed 2 half done, shed 1 3/4 done.
Another couple of hour and should be sorted.
All boats ok.
Getting a trifle tired now.....

 

[hisw]

A long night for you all...., glad everything is ok.

 

[pks1702]

03:00 in the morning, been washing out since just after 12.
Shed 3 done, shed 2 half done, shed 1 3/4 done.
Another couple of hour and should be sorted.
All boats ok.
Getting a trifle tired now.....

You deserve to get your feet up for sure, many appreciative owners no doubt.

Good most escaped any major issues and DOM kept his feet dry.