Bru
Well-Known Member
Okay, for simplicity I've split the routes at a waypoint off Ramsgate to make it easier to correlate my results with TGs.
And for clarity and so there is no misunderstanding, this is in no way a competition nor is any criticism of TG or CTTE implied. It's an exercise in comparing two sources of passage planning data.
Speed through the water is set to 4 knots to match the CTTE tables. HW Sheerness is approx 04:40UTC
I do all my passage planning and nav in UTC so add one hour to all times for BST
Times in brackets are TGs times for the same route and start time)
Dover to Ramsgate - this leg is the same for all four routes.
13.75NM 3h25m without tides
Route 1: via Foulgers, Little Sunk then clear the head of the Gunfleet and into Harwich 39.18NM (39.07NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 8h36m (8h41m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h05m (9h03m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h48m (9h42m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h43m (10h44m)
Route 2: via Black Deep and Goldmer Gate 41.16NM (39.73NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h17m (9h02m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h39m (9h18m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h14m (9h56m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h09m (10h53m)
(Note: my distance is about 2NM longer which would account for the greater disparity between the passage times)
Route 3: via Foulgers, Black Seep and Cork Sand Beacon 43.15NM (42.12NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h29m (10h05m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h02m (10:51m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h09m (11h28m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h56m (12h03m)
Route 4: Outside route 43.15NM (42.12NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h44m (11h02m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h46m (11:11m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h09m (11h41m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 12h08m (12h03m)
HW Sheerness +2 (06:40UTC off Ramsgate) 12h39m (10h03m)**
** Is there an error here TG? One hates to suggest so but that 10:03 passage time looks a bit squiffy?... )
The variance between the CTTE results and the software output is, well, variable! It would be surprising if it wasn't
. The correlation isn't by any means perfect and on a couple of the calcs it's at odds by in excess of half an hour however for the most part it's within ten or fifteen minutes. For me that's within the bounds of acceptability given that tidal calcs are never going to be an exact science
I would never, ever, put my faith in a single source of data anyway (I used the software to work up a probable optimum plan because it's much faster than doing multiple tidal calcs by hand and then plot the tides manually if it's likely to be mission critical on timings or routeing to account for set and drift)
For all of the above, departure times from Dover to reach the waypoint off Ramsgate at the desired time would be ...
HW Sheerness -2 22:30UTC!
HW Sheerness -1 00:30UTC
HW Sheerness 02:000UTC
HW Sheerness +1 03:10UTC
HW Sheerness +2 04:10UTC
HW Sheerness -2 is a crock and highlights a problem I've found with planning from Ramsgate and not from Dover. The optimum time off Ramsgate is, for every route, HW Sheerness -2 (or earlier - I haven't calculated the routes for HW Sheerness -2) but the tide is still running foul off Dover if you leave early enough to arrive off Ramsgate at 02:40UTC. It takes 4h19m at that time of night compared to 2h42m if you depart Dover at 01:00UTC and 2h26m if you depart at 03:10UTC
Bit like TG said, if I wuz going there, I wouldn't be starting from here
I'd still personally leave at between 04:00UTC and 05:00UTC and accept that the passage would be a couple of hours longer unless the conditions were going to be such that minimising time at sea was critical.
In summary, is the software vindicated?
I think so, others may thing differently. I was looking for correlations with a variance of substantially less than an hour and that's what I've got. For the most part, the correlations are within a matter of minutes and if anyone claims they can calculate the effects of tidal streams to the minute I'll larf myself silly
quick edit - I forgot to mention that the variance in route mileage is not insignificant. I may revisit this with my copy of CTTE in the next few days and try and remove that variable from the results
And for clarity and so there is no misunderstanding, this is in no way a competition nor is any criticism of TG or CTTE implied. It's an exercise in comparing two sources of passage planning data.
Speed through the water is set to 4 knots to match the CTTE tables. HW Sheerness is approx 04:40UTC
I do all my passage planning and nav in UTC so add one hour to all times for BST
Times in brackets are TGs times for the same route and start time)
Dover to Ramsgate - this leg is the same for all four routes.
13.75NM 3h25m without tides
Route 1: via Foulgers, Little Sunk then clear the head of the Gunfleet and into Harwich 39.18NM (39.07NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 8h36m (8h41m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h05m (9h03m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h48m (9h42m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h43m (10h44m)
Route 2: via Black Deep and Goldmer Gate 41.16NM (39.73NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h17m (9h02m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h39m (9h18m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h14m (9h56m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h09m (10h53m)
(Note: my distance is about 2NM longer which would account for the greater disparity between the passage times)
Route 3: via Foulgers, Black Seep and Cork Sand Beacon 43.15NM (42.12NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 9h29m (10h05m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h02m (10:51m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h09m (11h28m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h56m (12h03m)
Route 4: Outside route 43.15NM (42.12NM)
HW Sheerness -2 (02:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h44m (11h02m)
HW Sheerness -1 (03:40UTC off Ramsgate) 10h46m (11:11m)
HW Sheerness (04:40UTC off Ramsgate) 11h09m (11h41m)
HW Sheerness +1 (05:40UTC off Ramsgate) 12h08m (12h03m)
HW Sheerness +2 (06:40UTC off Ramsgate) 12h39m (10h03m)**
** Is there an error here TG? One hates to suggest so but that 10:03 passage time looks a bit squiffy?... )
The variance between the CTTE results and the software output is, well, variable! It would be surprising if it wasn't
I would never, ever, put my faith in a single source of data anyway (I used the software to work up a probable optimum plan because it's much faster than doing multiple tidal calcs by hand and then plot the tides manually if it's likely to be mission critical on timings or routeing to account for set and drift)
For all of the above, departure times from Dover to reach the waypoint off Ramsgate at the desired time would be ...
HW Sheerness -2 22:30UTC!
HW Sheerness -1 00:30UTC
HW Sheerness 02:000UTC
HW Sheerness +1 03:10UTC
HW Sheerness +2 04:10UTC
HW Sheerness -2 is a crock and highlights a problem I've found with planning from Ramsgate and not from Dover. The optimum time off Ramsgate is, for every route, HW Sheerness -2 (or earlier - I haven't calculated the routes for HW Sheerness -2) but the tide is still running foul off Dover if you leave early enough to arrive off Ramsgate at 02:40UTC. It takes 4h19m at that time of night compared to 2h42m if you depart Dover at 01:00UTC and 2h26m if you depart at 03:10UTC
Bit like TG said, if I wuz going there, I wouldn't be starting from here
I'd still personally leave at between 04:00UTC and 05:00UTC and accept that the passage would be a couple of hours longer unless the conditions were going to be such that minimising time at sea was critical.
In summary, is the software vindicated?
I think so, others may thing differently. I was looking for correlations with a variance of substantially less than an hour and that's what I've got. For the most part, the correlations are within a matter of minutes and if anyone claims they can calculate the effects of tidal streams to the minute I'll larf myself silly
quick edit - I forgot to mention that the variance in route mileage is not insignificant. I may revisit this with my copy of CTTE in the next few days and try and remove that variable from the results












