D
Deleted User YDKXO
Guest
Nah, keep up Mike, we'll be a tax haven for super rich foreigners by then. They can buy a few boats whilst they're here.
Ah yes sorry I forgot. We're changing our economic model
Nah, keep up Mike, we'll be a tax haven for super rich foreigners by then. They can buy a few boats whilst they're here.
One of the main reasons I have always bought secondhandYou cant buy now and limit your exposure, you end up on a years wait list ( or more) and your deposit. stage payments become a greater risk.
They don't, the market controls the price and the big 3 builders don't build boats that command enough of a premium price to give them an acceptable profit. But you could say that about many manufacturers in many different industries. As my old boss used to say, manufacturing is a mug's gamethey control the selling price
Mike, I too am in manufacturing and yes its hard work says I as I look across at traders and web marketers who have it relatively easy.
But my business makes money in a fiercely competitive arena because we keep it very lean, buy wise and sell to make money.
Are we then saying boat manufacture in the uk is not as efficient as the rest of Europe?
No we're saying its a lousy industry to be in generally! Mature industry with flatlining sales. Not big enough for major economies of scale or significant R & D spend. Hugely working capital intensive. Very much a discretionary purchase and therefore highly subject to economic fluctuations. Far too many competitors with lack of market consolidation. Oh yes and no future unless somebody invents a propulsion system with vastly improved fuel consumption and emissionsAre we then saying boat manufacture in the uk is not as efficient as the rest of Europe?
Is that how it works? If so, that's awful. In the case of a loss-making boatbuilder it almost sounds like a Ponzi scheme. In our little business all pre-paid deposits were held in a separate bank account and released to the main account after delivery. If we had gone bust the deposits would technically have gone into the same pot as everything else and the people who had paid them would have been unsecured creditors but in practice if we had seen the bust coming (which we would) the deposits would have been repaid before we pulled the plug. Why can't boatbuilders put deposits and stage payments in escrow? Obviously that would put prices up a bit because it would increase the amount of borrowed money being used to pay for building the boats but it would remove risk from the buyer. I'm amazed the buyers don't demand this because they must be savvy people to be in the game in the first place. Surely they must read the accounts of the boatbuilder before they sign the contract?It is also important for cash flow to take orders for new boats with deposits, helping to fund the build of the boats already in production.
Is that how it works? If so, that's awful. In the case of a loss-making boatbuilder it almost sounds like a Ponzi scheme. In our little business all pre-paid deposits were held in a separate bank account and released to the main account after delivery. If we had gone bust the deposits would technically have gone into the same pot as everything else and the people who had paid them would have been unsecured creditors but in practice if we had seen the bust coming (which we would) the deposits would have been repaid before we pulled the plug. Why can't boatbuilders put deposits and stage payments in escrow? Obviously that would put prices up a bit because it would increase the amount of borrowed money being used to pay for building the boats but it would remove risk from the buyer. I'm amazed the buyers don't demand this because they must be savvy people to be in the game in the first place. Surely they must read the accounts of the boatbuilder before they sign the contract?
So why cant the big 3 build boats and make money???, they control their overheads, they control the selling price and they should be as good as any overseas yard.
I don't think it is the ownership taking cash out, as this isn't the case with Sun/Prin/Fair. There is no cash to take a dividend. All three were very successful until the GFC in 2007/8. Orders crashed, leaving all 3 with overheads they couldn't afford. None of the businesses were optimised for efficiency, they didn't need to be. When the crash came, cash leaked so quickly there was insufficient to invest in modern production facilities or processes, insufficient investment in new product, and over supply. The rest is history.Is it something to do with the amount paid for the businesses in the first place ? After all the investors want a return on their investment, I seem to remember the big 3 have all had new owners at some point and it seems more was paid than what they can earn so you will only head one way.
I don't think it is the ownership taking cash out, as this isn't the case with Sun/Prin/Fair. There is no cash to take a dividend. All three were very successful until the GFC in 2007/8. Orders crashed, leaving all 3 with overheads they couldn't afford. None of the businesses were optimised for efficiency, they didn't need to be. When the crash came, cash leaked so quickly there was insufficient to invest in modern production facilities or processes, insufficient investment in new product, and over supply. The rest is history.
Don't think that has factored. VC's tend to want a return by increasing the asset value and selling off in 3-5 years.I wasn't referring to the owners taking money out it was more a case of paying back the loan as I would expect that to be a big overhead that they could do without
I think on the whole your stage payments go towards your boat. The first significant (30%) payment is due when engines are ordered, along with other components and cabinetry is started. I see this period as your likely main risk. Once the boat has started to be assembled you are reasonably safe imo; because whatever has caused the company failure it's usually in the best interest of everyone to get part built boats finished and full payment received. This has happened to me in the past.
So in reality your risk window is relatively small (6-8 weeks) whereby you would have paid 30% but have nothing that is economically viable for the firm to finish.
insufficient investment in new product
As a casual observer, that doesn't appear to be the case. There seems to be a never ending flow of new models from Princess and Sunseeker, at least on a par with the mainsteam French and Italian builders?
I think there's evidence that things are looking up for the UK builders. Competitive exchange rates, full order books, and sales back at pre-2008 levels, mean higher sales and less discounting, which is a bottom line double whammy for the builders. Sunseeker reported that they went back into profit at the end of last year, and that's a quick turnaround from heavier losses than Princess reported.
That strikes me as much more sensible from the buyer's perspective but presumably the boatbuilder has to do due diligence on the buyer to avoid the risk that the buyer doesn't have the money when the 90% comes due.
If you buy a Prestige, it's just a 10% deposit and the 90% balance only due when the boat is completed.