Possible Storm Surge Tuesday

[pvb]

....still plenty scary. Especially for those marinas that have not yet done the remedial work

Shotley's due to start....

 

[sailorman]

I have that 0.6 dip @ 01.00 in my diary, i was on a mooring just below the Orwell bridge

 

[Phoenix of Hamble]

Sad you may be... but I for one, thinks its bloody useful, and am grateful for your efforts!

Guess that makes a sad man too!!!!!

 

[dennyjc]

Shotley's due to start....

I guess they have another 8 hours !
although I wouldn't fancy moving boats out of the way of the welding/cutting in this wind.

 

[Phoenix of Hamble]

Having tried to weld myself, they'd have to move them to Brightlingsea to be safe if I was doing the work!!!!

 

[Rivers & creeks]

Shotley's due to start....

I thought Shotley was protected by a lock?

 

[sailorman]

Here's all the data from December 05th 2013 for comparison

Because of the timing of the surge
This time the water will ultimately reach a slightly lower high mark
....still plenty scary. Especially for those marinas that have not yet done the remedial work

There - I told you I was a sad man

Thanks
i have printed that off to add into the diary

 

[Phoenix of Hamble]

The lock tops over, ie is below the water on even a normal large spring tide, let alone a storm surge...

during the Dec 5th surge, the water was over the top of the lock sides and lapping around the lock building and the main building itself.

 

[Hydrozoan]

Thanks to dennyc for that - confirms it was nigh on 5.6m.

Do you perhaps have any answer to my query (at post 46) about differences in current forecasts?

 

[sailorman]

I thought Shotley was protected by a lock?

read #17

 

[Rivers & creeks]

I thought Shotley was protected by a lock?

read #17

This is post 17. How does that help?

Don't anyone leave a useful turbo diesel estate parked in Shotley Marina car park like I did last Nov

 

[Phoenix of Hamble]

The car park is well above the lock level.

 

[pvb]

Fortunately, my boat's tucked up in the warm and dry, inside Fox's workshop!

 

[sailorman]

Fortunately, my boat's tucked up in the warm and dry, inside Fox's workshop!

Last time there was 4" of water under FMYC Clubhouse

 

[xyachtdave]

I'm getting confused now....is it likely to be worse than last year, the same, or nothing to worry about?!

 

[dennyjc]

This is post 17. How does that help?

Water comes over both gates at about 3.9m of tide.
So it's already quite common on spring tides
let alone a surge like this.

 

[sailorman]

#58 pvb reckons it to be 0.65 lower than in Dec

 

[DavidofMersea]

#58 pvb reckons it to be 0.65 lower than in Dec

But that was Harwich, what about West Mersea when high tide is a bit later?

 

[Hydrozoan]

#58 pvb reckons it to be 0.65 lower than in Dec

But dennyjc has calculated ~5.3 maximum this time, and has posted data showing ~5.6m in December (and I confirm both figures).

That's a difference of about 0.3m between now and then, rather than the difference of about 0.65m pvb got from the Environment Agency data.

Does anyone know how that difference arises, I ask (again)?

 

[xyachtdave]

#58 pvb reckons it to be 0.65 lower than in Dec

Ok, I'm reading that as 'if anything happens it's PVB's fault and he'll pick up any costs involved,'