rafiki_
Well-Known Member
Tesla makes booger all profit, yet is the most valuable car company. Investors value Elon over anything else.Non sequitur. What else do you think a company value is based on, other than its profitability?
Tesla makes booger all profit, yet is the most valuable car company. Investors value Elon over anything else.Non sequitur. What else do you think a company value is based on, other than its profitability?
It’s a barometer of financial health .But as DAW infers ( if I understood what he wrote ) you need to compare that figure with others in the industry particularly the other U.K. builders FWIW .It’s a global market so I would say all competitors Italian and others to get a handle where that 3.7 % sits .I’m sure everyone knew but me
What is EBITDA Margin? EBITDA margin is a profitability ratio that measures how much in earnings a company is generating before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, as a percentage of revenue.
I’m sure everyone knew but me
What is EBITDA Margin? EBITDA margin is a profitability ratio that measures how much in earnings a company is generating before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, as a percentage of revenue.
I guess it’s the same as operating profit as a % of revenue???
It’s a barometer of financial health .But as DAW infers ( if I understood what he wrote ) you need to compare that figure with others in the industry particularly the other U.K. builders FWIW .It’s a global market so I would say all competitors Italian and others to get a handle where that 3.7 % sits .
On saying that I have seen other business ( health care related *) running on low single digit EBITDA and servicing big debt .
The difference is with healthcare the market never dries up and is pretty immune to wider economic headwinds like rate hikes and recession. You always find patients with diseases .Unlike Princess looking to sell 250 - 300 boats .Boat building at Princess size sub 90 ft relies on such a small number of punters a significant number of which very exposed to financial headwinds .
Loose a few buyers and ………you know the rest .
Thanks for summarising the data DAW. All your comments agreed, and a few observations:Obtaining financial information for boat builders outside the UK is challenging, but earlier this month Sanlorenzo published a strong set of results for 2022 and I thought it would be interesting to do a quick comparison of the headline numbers against those of Princess.
The latest published information for Princess relates to 2021, the year after Covid, so for comparability I've included the Sanlorenzo numbers for 2021.
Sanlorenzo:
Sales - EUR 741m (2021: EUR 586m)
EBITDA - EUR 130m (2021: EUR 96m)
EBITDA margin - 17.6% (2021: 16.3%)
Capital investment - EUR 59m (2021: EUR 49m)
Net cash - EUR 100m (2021: EUR 39m)
Princess:
Sales - £312m
EBITDA - £12m
EBITDA margin - 3.7%
Capital investment - £14m (including £12m capitalised R&D and only £2m on plant and equipment)
Net debt - £244m (including cash of only £1m)
The most striking differences are the EBITDA margin (16% v 4%), capital investment (EUR 49m v £2m) and net liquidity positions.
In terms of the Princess results ...
The cash on hand was only £1m, which means the group had £245m of debt. Of this, £53m was due to banks and the majority of the remaining £192m was owed to the shareholders as either unsecured loans or redeemable preference shares. The annual finance costs (including dividends on the preference shares) were quite high at £16m. From the directors report and notes, it looks as though covenants on bank facilities were breached and reset for 2022 and beyond based on a recovery plan and following an injection of funds by the shareholders.
The investment in Princess Yachts International (the manufacturing business) is recorded in the balance sheet of the holding company as £187m, so depending on how they've financed historical operating losses this might correspond to the price originally paid for the acquisition.
"Capital investment" of £14m includes £12m of capitalised R&D costs (basically money spent on building/developing new models) and so the real investment in new plant and equipment and facilities was only £2m.
The above is just a quick and dirty analysis done in less than 20 minutes, so I apologise in advance for any errors, omissions or misinterpretations.
I'm not knocking Princess, because as I've said elsewhere in the forum the results of the UK builders are all similar, and my guess is that most of the Ferretti group companies (and those of other builders) are comparable. However, it's interesting to compare and contrast the relative performance and think about what this means in terms of financial stability, ability to invest in new models and long-term value creation for shareholders.
No, you can be pretty sure it rolled up. It served as a hurdle for the management equity, which looks like it was well out of the money at all times.(assuming all the interest is paid and not just rolled-up into an increasing debt to shareholders).
No big dealJust for some balance, here is the same information for Sunseeker International group (the manufacturing company) for 2021 ...
Sales - £214m
EBITDA - £2m
EBITDA margin - 0.9%
Capital investment - £7m (£6m on moulds and £1m on plant and equipment)
Net debt - £176m (parent company loan of £189m, plus leasing of £24m, less cash of £36m)
During the same period Sunseeker London (the main distributor, but under separate ownership) reported sales of £173m, with cost of sales of £151m and EBITDA of about £6m.
Assuming most of the cost of sales in Sunseeker London relates to purchase of boats from Sunseeker International, you could say that in aggregate they generated external sales with a market value somewhere in the region of £240m and together earned EBITDA of about £8m. This would give an EBITDA margin of about 3.5%, similar to the 3.7% of Princess.
Both Princess and Sunseeker recently announced significant improvements for 2022, but we are unlikely to see financial statements for this period until late 2023 or early 2024.
Are you sure about your facts ?Tesla makes booger all profit, yet is the most valuable car company. Investors value Elon over anything else.
That all suggests that the previous owners must’ve lost boatloads of money over their 15 year tenure.Thanks for summarising the data DAW. All your comments agreed, and a few observations:
1. Just a caution that what you see in UK companies house won't reflect the numbers at the level of Princess's Luxembourg parent. That used to account for a lot of difference, but less so since a few years ago when they were forced to show the senior debt in the UK numbers
2. Important for folks to realise that the shareholder debt is really just equity, so the Princess business has been supporting about £50m of bank debt. That's still quite a lot against its poor cashflow, but it's important not to put the £`192m in the same bucket as bank debt. But anyway, now all that slate is wiped clean: I would guess that KPS paid a price for their share in Princess that reflected an enterprise value (of 100% of the business) of perhaps £40m-50m - that's a total guess and I don't know the actual number, but I do know what the selling banks were putting forward as Princess's profitability. Again as a guess, there might be new bank debt in the order of £20m.
3. The comparison you make against Sanlorenzo is interesting but there's perhaps an even more startling comparison: you can buy the whole of Princess, debt free, for £50m. To buy the whole of Sanlorenzo you need almost €2bn. Yes, the difference is that much. To buy Ferretti you'd need a bit over €1bn; Jeanneau a bit less than Sanlorenzo. Worlds apart in terms of how well these businesses have been run.
4. I think Princess now have a nice future in front of them. Debt slate is wiped clean. Just needs new management to fix the obvious errors of the past (oftentimes pointed out on here btw) and they should be fine. You've got to expect the new smart owners will deal with that. The product is decent and has a market, and the competitor comparison proves that the product can be made and sold profitably by others, if not (yet) by Princess.
No big dealbut not sure I totally get why you're aggregating the dealer and manufacturer earnings for Sunseeker - surely that blurs things rather than sheds light. And your numbers for Princess/Sanlorenzo/whoever are manufacturer only, with no dealer inclusion.
Yes and no. Absolutely they did, on Princess alone. But Princess was but one investment within a single fund that held perhaps 20 investments in total, and overall the fund did ok afaik. It's the nature of this form of investment that some investments within a single fund are winners, some losers, and at the fund management and investor level you care only about the net overall position of the whole fund.That all suggests that the previous owners must’ve lost boatloads of money over their 15 year tenure.
Yup, no big deal. IIRC, and BTW, sunseeker London "group" avoid consolidation by using a ton of separate companies owned by the same individuals, with no parent entity so no consolidation. Nothing wrong with that, but it means you need to be careful with numbers. I think that the total sunseeker sales made through the "notionally consolidated" sunseeker London group is even higher than the numbers you have quoted. Again, nothing at all wrong with this - "just saying".Only because its relatively straightforward with Sunseeker because such a high proportion of sales are handled by a single distributor which is also UK-based and so information is publicly available. It's more challenging/not possible to do this with Princess and Sanlorenzo because there are more distributors and intermediaries involved, and many are based outside the UK. However, I fully agree it's perhaps not a direct/fair comparison.
Yep very sure. They have made the odd quarterly operating profit, but are yet to make a full year profit.Are you sure about your facts ?
From what I can see Tesla's strategy of just 2 models and 12 variants in total (vs over 1,000 variants for VAG for example) they have one of the highest profitabilities amongst car manufacturers -
- Gross margin - 28.5%
- EBITDA of 2022 - $19bn
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