From Der Spiegel - 'The new shipbuilding boom'

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From Der Spiegel - \'The new shipbuilding boom\'

The article below was taken from the on line edition of Der Spiegel at :
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,467655,00.html

THE NEW SHIPBUILDING BOOM
Giants of the Waves

By Thomas Schulz

Shipbuilding, dismissed as a dying industry until recently, is now experiencing a record boom. Even German shipyards are booked solid for years in advance. But the real heavyweights are to be found in Asia.

When Norbert Zelck leaves his temporary office near the Hyundai shipyard's main gate in the morning and walks out into a cacophony of warning sounds and screeching winches, it is often to embark on a search. "Where did they put it this time?" he mutters as he climbs into his car and drives away, looking for his ship. You might think that such a giant vessel -- it will be more than 300 meters (984 feet) long when it is finished -- would be easy enough to find.

But no. All Zelck can see are the seemingly endless quay walls as he drives around, hardly noticing the obstacles that suddenly pop up in the middle of the road: bows, stern sections and complete deckhouses.

Even such a ship can get mislaid in a place this big: The huge shipyard covers an area equivalent to 1,000 soccer fields. Forty thousand people work here in Ulsan at the southern tip of South Korea, in what is the world's largest shipbuilding operation.

It takes Zelck 20 minutes to find the gray steel shell that will be his ship one day: the Tsingtao Express. There it is on the last wharf, scarred with weld seams and hidden behind two tankers that are almost finished and already freshly painted in light blue. "It's coming along," says Zelck.

Originally a captain and ship engineer for Germany's largest container shipping company, Hapag-Lloyd, Zelck hasn't commanded a ship in years. Instead, he has a selection of new titles: Superintendent Engineer, Chief Supervisor and Site Manager. Nowadays he is no longer responsible for only one ship, but for many. He is currently supervising the construction of eight giant container ships Hapag-Lloyd is having built by Hyundai, each capable of transporting 8,750 standard containers (or TEU, for twenty-foot equivalent unit) -- at a price of around €120 million per ship.

An order of this size -- involving the simultaneous construction of several large ships at what would seem to be an astronomical price tag -- would have been unthinkable only a few years ago. For decades shipbuilding was considered a dying industry, especially in Germany. Like coalmining, shipbuilding was seen as a subsidized industry with no future; Its market had collapsed and it was only being kept alive with taxpayers' money.

It's a completely different story today. Commercial shipbuilding is currently experiencing its biggest and most enduring boom in history. In 2005, shipyards worldwide received orders worth a total of $100 billion, and the total value of orders on the books is currently $264 billion. More than 5,300 new ships will be launched within the next three years. Average prices for new ships have jumped by more than half in the last four years.

The current growth in the industry differs markedly from the oil tanker boom 35 years ago, a trend that was driven primarily by growth in the oil business -- and collapsed during the oil crisis. This time around, growth is not dependent on one product, but to a large extent on one country: China.

Chinese economic growth has driven global trade for years. The shipping lanes between Asia and Europe have long been a major thoroughfare for shipping companies, as countless container ships shuttle back and forth, transporting finished goods in one direction and components and raw materials in the other.

This growth in trade has also produced a growing demand for new ships, especially container ships, but also tankers to transport oil and liquid natural gas, as well as ore ships.

Shipping companies have no trouble paying for their rapidly growing fleets, because the rising demand for shipping capacity has been accompanied by a sharp rise in freight rates. The average daily cargo rate was around $12,000 in the 1990s; Now it's as much as $40,000.

Germany has enjoyed a significant share of this unexpected boom -- not because so many ships are being built here but, surprisingly enough, because German companies are ordering so many ships.

Largely unnoticed by the public, German shipping companies have become a dominant force, especially in the container shipping business, which now plays an important role in global trade -- and especially thanks to the fiscal benefits of the tonnage tax. Thousands of German dentists and lawyers, eager to reduce their tax liability, are investing in funds and shipping companies.

Germans owned more than 1,000 container ships in 2006, making Germany's container fleet the world's largest by a wide margin -- despite the fact that, for tax reasons, a majority of these vessels sail under foreign flags. The Chinese come a distant second, with only 261 container ships.

German shipping companies are also busy expanding their leading role, placing by far the largest number of orders for new ships of all types -- almost 1,000 ships, for a total value of $33 billion.

But German shipbuilders are likely to see little of these breathtaking sums, because German shipyards tend to build only two types of ships: complex or small. German shipbuilders have focused on niche markets, including yachts, cruise ships, small container ships and specialized vessels such as icebreakers. They now hold a mere two percent of the global shipbuilding market.

Mass production migrated to Asia long ago, mainly for reasons of cost, but also because container ships are getting bigger and bigger. "They don't even fit into German docks anymore," says Zelck. He has just parked his car between two hatch covers, each the size of a barn door. The Osaka Express, another Hapag-Lloyd ship currently being built in Ulsan, towers over Zelck. The colossus is 336 meters (1,102 feet) long, 60 meters (197 feet) tall and 43 meters (141 feet) wide, and boasts a 100,000 horsepower engine.

It's mid-January and the ship is almost complete, close to a month ahead of its scheduled launch. Even though work on its interior still needs to be completed, it is already in the water; The shipyard's nine dry docks are in great demand, and anything that can float is placed into the water as soon as possible.

The Osaka Express is only one of 82 ships that will be launched this year at Hyundai. By comparison, Germany's 18 shipyards will launch a combined total of 54 ships this year. It takes the Hyundai shipyard a little less than eight months to build a ship like the Osaka Express, not much time for a 94,000-ton giant.

"But you still have to put in your order a couple of years in advance," says Zelck. The Osaka Express is the fourth ship in an order Hapag-Lloyd placed in 2004. The eighth and last ship won't be completed until 2008.

That's how long Zelck will remain in Ulsan, together with his three colleagues from Hapag-Lloyd, who are responsible for supervising construction each step along the way, from keel-laying to the launch. One construction supervisor is responsible for keeping an eye just on the painting of the ships -- with a 350-meter ship, paint becomes a major cost factor by itself.

Isn't a four-man team a little on the small side for supervising the construction of these giant ships? "Our job is to supervise the execution; the shipyard is responsible for the process and the technology," says Zelck. In contrast to individual luxury yachts and cruise ships, the Hamburg-based shipping company has little control over what its ships will ultimately look like. It selects the model and a few interior options, but not much more than that.

It was a different story 10 or 20 years ago, when shipping companies still designed their own ships. German engineers produced the blueprints and the Koreans built the ships. Nowadays Hapag-Lloyd no longer has a development department. The Koreans have been fast learners.

This is the sort of globalization that probably has German industry most concerned, because it's not just jobs which are moving, irreversibly, overseas -- but also knowledge.

"The Koreans have also been building the engines here for some time now," says Zelck, raising his voice as he walks through the noisy 100-meter-long machine hall next to the quayside. A flatbed trailer groans under the weight of a huge ship's engine, but Zelck seems unconcerned. "That's just a small one," he says. The engine is three stories tall.

The name of the German engineering company MAN is written on the side of a piston the size of a tree trunk, evidence that the engine was at least designed in Germany, though it was built in Korea. Hyundai is now the global market leader in the production of diesel engines for ships. Even if a German shipyard were capable of building a large container ship at home, it would probably have to import the engine from Korea.

Hyundai now produces engines with a total of 8.5 million horsepower a year, says Seok Hong Joon, the company's sales director. He is visibly proud as he rattles off Hyundai's impressive sales and order figures. His enthusiasm has a lot to do with the fact that Hyundai "started with nothing" not too long ago, as Seok says. Ulsan, still just a small fishing port in the early 1960s, is now home to a million people. It has become an Asian version of Volkswagen's hometown of Wolfsburg -- a giant company town, complete with Hyundai shopping centers, Hyundai apartment buildings, Hyundai hotels and even a Hyundai university.

Seok calls the city and the shipyard a "symbol of the dynamic Korean economy." They are perhaps more a symbol of the fact that even a market dominance that has lasted for decades no longer counts for much.

In today's economy, it is no longer only labor and production that migrate around the globe. Entire industries now move wherever production happens to be cheaper, faster and more flexible -- wherever people are willing to work for less and governments are willing to do whatever it takes to spur economic growth.

Until the end of the 1970s, the Europeans still dominated the global shipbuilding industry, continuing a tradition that went back centuries. That role shifted to the Japanese in the 1980s. Since the turn of the millennium, the Koreans have been in the lead, and currently have a global market share of close to 40 percent. But the Chinese are likely to overtake all other competitors soon.

A giant shipyard is currently being built at a record pace near Shanghai, a shipyard that even makes Hyundai's seem small by comparison. By 2015, claims the Chinese leadership, China will be by far the world's largest shipbuilding nation.

Seok smiles when he is asked about the Chinese. Of course, he says, he is familiar with their grand plans, but 2015? No, that's completely unrealistic, in Seok's opinion. Zelck also believes that although the Chinese will likely overtake the Koreans at some point, it won't happen that quickly. "You can't build experience overnight."

The average Hyundai employee has worked at the shipyard for 19 years. This longevity also guarantees loyalty. Nevertheless, Hapag-Lloyd's construction supervisors inspect every cable, every pipe and every alarm bell, and they use radar and ultrasound to inspect weld seams.

Work on the Osaka Express is in full swing as it nears its scheduled trial run. Because Zelck and his small team are unable to supervise everything, the captain, chief engineer and electrician of the Osaka Express have been in Ulsan for months now. Their job is to get to know their ship, but also to ensure that everything is ready on the launch date.

Only 36 hours after leaving the shipyard, the Osaka Express will be operating as part of Hapag-Lloyd's scheduled service. The company is one of the world's most efficient shipping businesses, plying the busy Europe-Asia route and using Shanghai as a hub. The exact date of delivery of the Osaka Express was already scheduled on the date Hapag-Lloyd signed its contract with Hyundai.

Because delays are something the shipyard cannot afford, every square meter of dock area must be put to use. A tanker and two container ships are currently squeezed into Dock 3. And because there isn't quite enough space for a fourth container ship at the dock, only half of the vessel -- from stern to midships -- is being built. The other half will be built once one of the other ships is completed, freeing up the necessary space at the dock. The unfinished ships are docked so close together that tires are used as buffers between their sides.

Nevertheless, there is still inadequate space at the shipyard as it faces a constant demand for new ships. Some deliveries are backordered until 2011. To keep up with the demand, Hyundai has begun building ships directly on the wharf instead of in the water. Once the ships are completed they are maneuvered into the water using a complex system of rails and hoists.

Skeptics claim that the only reason German shipyards are even receiving orders for container ships is that the Asian shipyards are so overloaded. It's a claim Jürgen Kennemann angrily rejects.

Kennemann is the head of German operations for Norwegian shipbuilding conglomerate Aker and chairman of the German Shipbuilding and Ocean Industries Association, so he's well qualified to speak on behalf of the German shipbuilding industry. According to Kennemann, business hasn't been this good for German shipbuilders in 20 years. These days, shipyards are hiring workers instead of laying them off, which hasn't been the case in a long time. The order books at most shipyards, including Aker, are full.

In the future, says Kennemann, Germany will have to treat its shipyards as a strategic industry once again, "especially here in the East."

By "here in the East" he means Wismar in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. The shipyard's production building, 72 meters (236 feet) tall and 395 meters (1,296 feet) long and painted bright blue, is visible from the highway a kilometer away. It used to be called MTW, and it was where freighters for the East German merchant navy and passenger ships bound for the Soviet Union were built. Today Aker operates the shipyard, together with its sister shipyard in Warnemünde.

Two small container ships with space for a little more than 2,000 standard containers are currently being built at the dock in front of Kennemann's office. The dock is large enough to accommodate ships capable of carrying four times as much cargo but, says Kennemann, no German shipyard can compete with the Koreans in building ships of that size.

To remain competitive the Germans, according to Kennemann, must concentrate on complex ships with more options than the Koreans offer -- specializing in quality instead of quantity. The world's best and most costly yachts are built at the Lürrsen shipyard in Bremen and the Blohm and Voss shipyard in Hamburg, which is currently designing a luxury yacht worth an estimated €200 million for Russian multi-billionaire Roman Abramovich. The Meyer shipyard in Papenburg is one of the world's leading builders of cruise ships. Aker was awarded contracts to build the world's two largest freight and passenger ferries and also produces icebreaking freighters for a Russian mining company.

Finding the right niche markets is key, says Kennemann. It's an approach taken by another German shipbuilder, 200 kilometers (124 miles) farther east near the Polish border, which is building smaller container ships known as feeders at the Peene shipyard in Wolgast. Instead of sailing long-distance routes around the world, the vessels, which can carry up to about 1,500 containers, distribute the steel containers from large to smaller ports.

Feeders are comparable to regional trains on rail routes. When a giant container ship like the Osaka Express docks in a major port like Hamburg, it is quickly surrounded by several feeders onto which the larger ship's cargo is distributed for shipment to smaller ports in the Baltic states, Russia or Scandinavia.

The Peene shipyard currently has 21 orders on its books, a lot for a company that many would have expected to be out of business by now. Treuhand, the government agency that privatized the former East German state-owned enterprises after the Wall came down, wasn't even interested in privatizing the shipyard, which it deemed too remote and unpromising, after German reunification.

But that didn't deter Bremen entrepreneur Detlef Hegemann. Shortly after reunification, Hapag-Lloyd, a regular customer of Hegemann's at the time, ordered several tugboats from the Peene shipyard instead of from Hegemann's Roland shipyard, as it would normally have done. "It was a mystery to me," says Hegemann. "We already weren't making any profit on the tugboats, so how could they have done it more cheaply?" He drove to Wolgast, negotiated with Treuhand and ended up buying the ailing shipyard. Today the Peene shipyard has about 770 employees and more than 100 trainees. Hegemann is proud of the shipyard's turnaround. "Where else can you find something like this in the area?" Finding workers isn't a problem in a region with such high unemployment.

But finding qualified engineers is a different story. Engineers with shipbuilding degrees are a scarce commodity throughout Germany. "It's no wonder when the entire industry was neglected for so long," complains Hegemann. With engineers in demand in all fields, who would want to specialize in an industry that was widely considered dead?

Hegemann is now thinking about establishing a shipbuilding academy in Peenemünde. He isn't worried about the boom coming to an end any time soon. "As long as there is a demand for more, and larger, container ships, the demand for feeders will grow," says Hegemann. Many ports are not even designed for the new breed of giant container ships. This is welcome news for German shipbuilders. As long as the Koreans are only interested in building big ships, the Germans can continue producing the smaller ones without fear of Asian competition.

The people at Hyundai are used to focusing on the gigantic. Spending a few days at the Hyundai shipyard quickly distorts one's sense of size. Huge parts are constantly rolling past: propellers 10 meters (33 feet) in diameter, rudder blades the size of apartments and engines as big as houses.

Stacks of ship parts cover every meter of available space, parts made from countless steel plates which arrive every day at the shipyard's docks from steel mills farther north. Somewhere among these piles Zelck recognizes part of the stern of a Hapag-Lloyd ship by its shape. The hunk of metal is only one of 216 pieces that will later make up the Tsingtao Express.

Is any part of the ship made in Germany any more? The on-board computer maybe? Or the radar system? Zelck thinks for a moment, and then he says: "The cables to tie the ship to the dock. Somehow they haven't figured out how to make them here."
 
Re: From Der Spiegel - \'The new shipbuilding boom\'

It breaks my heart

Mine is the first generation of my family not to be involved in shipbuilding since the 1700's if not earlier. I have vivid childhood memories of the River Wear where half a dozen yards were flat out building ships in the 1960's. All bar one of those yards are now long gone, every trace of them eradicated.

The last survivor - although in truth it's actually a 1980's redevelopment financed by foreign investors - stands idle (as far as shipbuilding is concerned) although it did get some ferry refurbishment work recently.

Lack of investment, outmoded working practices and, most of all, a government seemingly hell bent on destroying heavy industry spelt the end for shipbuilding on the Wear and, to a large extent, around the whole of the UK.

The owners of the former Doxfords yard were certain that they could secure new orders once the worldwide slump in shipbuilding turned around and they were right. However, in return for some EU money to attract new industry to the area there was a ban on shipbuilding on the Wear for five years. At the end of the moratorium, Pallion Engineering Ltd., who had acquired the one remaining yard, applied to resume shipbuilding (they had potential orders) but the government invoked an option to extend the moratorium for a further five years thus pretty much ensuring that there would be no way back.

It's fair to say that it would be next to impossible for UK yards to compete with the Koreans when it comes to building bulk carriers but, as the Germans are proving, there are plenty of niche markets. The Pallion yard would be ideal for the construction of specialist vessels (oil industry support vessels, tugs, even luxury super-yachts!) but the skills have all but disappeared and the impetus has gone.

With a little support from the government we could have been well placed to benefit from the surge in demand for shipping. Instead, we not only import so much of the goods needed to feed our consumer society, we rub salt in the wound because it all arrives on ships built in the Far East.

How a once great maritime nation is brought low
 
Re: From Der Spiegel - \'The new shipbuilding boom\'

I think you have summed it up in a nutshell very well - am sure that many folk who read this Forum will be in agreement.

Even 20 years ago there were over 20 shipbuilding yards making up British Shipbuilders - and yet within the next few years many of them went to the wall.

The once mighty Harland and Wolff yard now does conversions and re-fit work - apparently they could have been strong contenders for building Queen Mary II but that contract went to France instead, probably because of political reasons.

I have heard of bureaucratic EU madness before, but that decision to not allow shipbuilding on the Wear pretty much takes the cake - and then the Government extended it! Why would they do that?

I did naval architecture at college 25 years ago, and when I started on my course there were many jobs available in the industry, and it looked very rosy - but it all changed dramatically in the next few years.

The industry does seem to have gone almost full circle now, but it has stopped in countries like Germany instead of Britain, especially re small specialist ship types.
 
Re: From Der Spiegel - \'The new shipbuilding boom\'

[ QUOTE ]
I have heard of bureaucratic EU madness before, but that decision to not allow shipbuilding on the Wear pretty much takes the cake - and then the Government extended it! Why would they do that?

[/ QUOTE ]

Stupidity?

The most plausible theory I've heard is that the government didn't want another shipbuilding yard competing for work with the yards which also build military vessels. Not sure I made that clear! Try again ... the theory is that the government wanted to ensure that all the available commercial work went to the yards it wanted to use for military work so that it didn't have to subsidise those yards to stop them going bust.

What they overlooked was that the Pallion yard was the most modern shipbuilding facility in the UK (and is still, as far as equipment and facilities are concerned, right up there with the best in Germany etc.) It's not huge (you couldn't build QMII in there for instance!) but it has the only covered building hall in the UK, laser profiling equipment and all the rest.

Even after the moratorium was over, Pallion struggled to get any support. Sunderland council, who own the port, wouldn't invest just a couple of million on dredging the river which meant the yard had little chance of getting orders. It just seems that nobody in authority wanted heavy engineering to survive.

And now, sadly, it seems even that vesitigal leftover is to be no more. The last work I can find reference to at Pallion was a couple of years ago, the Pallion Engineering web site seems to have disappeared and, worst of all, the Sunderlandarc (the urban regeneration company) Sunderland Strategic Transport Corridor proposals include a road through the Pallion Engineering site.

And that seems to be that for shipbuilding on the Wear.
 
A reply from the other side of the fence.

I had a lot to do with the last deep sea bulk carrier built in England for an English owner, a Sunderland Shipbuilders B45, delivered 1984, and was largely responsible for ordering the last deep sea bulk carrier built in Britain for a British owner, (same owner!) delivered from Harland and Wolff ten years later.

I regret to say that neither experience was, from the owners' side, a happy one.

The B45 took the preposterous total of 840,000 man hours to build - we had taken delivery of a Mitsui 40 built in Japan two years earlier for just half the man hours.

Indeed, the very first ship ever built at my present employers' shipyard in China, also a handymax bulker, delivered 1997, took 725,000 man hours and three ships later the yard was down to 270,000 man hours for a sister ship. That yard is currently building a pair of VLCCs for NYK, the first ships to be ordered outside Japan by NYK in living memory.

The state of the Sunderland ship when finally delivered (late) may be judged from the fact that one of the main engine holding down bolts on the Kinkaid B&W (another story!) turned out to be an 18" stub, epoxied in. The Senior Greens Diesecon exhaust gas boiler caught fire on the maiden voyage. One of 12 such fires on British ships, as we found, the other 11 having been put down to "crew negligence".

etc.

The yard attitude throughout could best be described as "stroppy".

A shame, because British Shipbuilders' hull designs were always excellent.

The Harland's ship, a Capesize, was a triumph of hope over experience, but was somewhat better and is still trading with her original owners, but no member of the supervision team, all of whom had built in Japan and Korea, wanted to go through the experience again. I am not about to say what she cost; it was sums of money beyond the dreams of avarice, and needless to say she was late.

On the basis of that experience, I was astounded that Carnival's design and supervision department, who incidentally are based in London, and are very impressive, even asked Harlands to quote, and I am quite sure that the decision to go to Chantiers De L'Atlantique was in no way "political". Quite the reverse.

I remember chatting to one of the team from Kawasaki whom John Parker had brought in to teach Harlands how to build ships. "The Cad-Cam system they've got here is far in advance of anything we have in Japan," he said. The British taxpayer had equipped what is still the best equipped shipyard that I have ever seen. But it never came anywhere near to be used at capacity.

Again, we went to Harlands partly out of patriotism and partly because their design department was really quite excellent. (fill in the blank here yourself...)

Conclusion: in my time, British merchant shipbuilders had learned nothing about modern shipbuilding and forgotten nothing about extracting cash from customers.
 
Re: A reply from the other side of the fence.

Yep. Can't argue with that. I did say that part of the reason for the decline in british shipbuilding (note lower case) was a lack of investment and outmoded working practices.

The government failed to support the industry, the industry failed to invest in itself and the workforce failed to modernise methods and practices.

It's notable that the very same workforce that took far too long to build ships in the 1970's and early 1980's was, a few years later, turning out Nissan cars more efficiently than any other plant in the world.

It did take time to get there (the leopard doesn't change its spots overnight) but if Nissan could do it, the shipyards could have done it.

My Dad (who served his time at Wm. Doxford and Sons) puts a lot of the blame for the failure of the industry on the shipyard owners who were only interested in sucking the profit out of the business as fast as possible. If challenged, he wil grudgingly admit that maybe the workforce could have been a bit more flexible (but he is a former shop steward so I guess that's quite an admission!)
 
Re: A reply from the other side of the fence.

I have to agree that it could have been done.

I suspect that the two sides of the great labour divide in British shipbuilding will go to their graves (many have already gone) with the management muttering "demarcation disputes" and the workers muttering "lack of investment and outdated techniques".

However, there was ample Government support - two billion pounds (and those were 1970's and 1980's pounds!) is a figure that sticks in my mind. Japanese shipbuilders never got that sort of cash - I remember some managers at a small Mitsubishi-group yard (now closed) where we built five excellent ships celebrating because they had been to another yard's closing down sale, and had managed to buy a second-hand lathe. They were still slipway launching, but they designed and built lovely ships.

I suspect that much of that Government money was P****d away in export subsidies, doing nothing to help the situation, rather than spent on improving productivity. There were votes in shipbuilding employment, in those days.

I think British man-management was awful - and still is.
 
Re: A reply from the other side of the fence.

[ QUOTE ]
I think British man-management was awful - and still is.

[/ QUOTE ]

Couldn't agree more.

Trouble is, we don't train our managers. UK business seems to think that a competent member of junior staff can be promoted to management and will be just as competent in the new role without any new skills. Most aren't.

Wasn't really aware that the government had pumped in substantial financial support to the shipbuilding industry although now I come to think of it there was the great camshaft works debacle in Sunderland which I think was largely funded with a government subsidy

They built a huge shed with a massive machine capable of milling enormous cam and crank shafts for marine engines. Trouble is, they built it at a time when turbines were taking over from diesels in large ships. IIRC, it was used half a dozen times and then mothballed and never used again.

(Or so I was told in my yoof - maybe its an apocryphal story)
 
Re: A reply from the other side of the fence.

That's interesting; I did not know that.

And there was I thinking that Doxfords were best known for their "rubber crankshafts"!

Seriously, the Doxford engine debacle, whereby in the end they were bought and closed down by B&W, was a black mark against the British government, as I have always understood that one of the three very good features of the Doxford was its fuel efficiency, which could have been developed further. The other ones of course being the lower level of vibration and the short length.

Harlands, who thanks to CC Pounder had more or less redesigned the B&W anyway during WW2 (legend has it that Pounder was "just going to get in the way" during war production, so he and his staff were re-located in a couple of terrace houses far away from Queen's Island, and left to get on with engine design!) were unable to machine large engine components as the whole place is built on reclaimed land which is prone to slight subsidence - very big machine tools were too much of a risk.
 
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