sailorman
Well-Known Member
Not along the broad 14sBugger me, -78m, we'll be able to walk across to Holland
Flood warnings as well!
- Thread starter Habebty
- Start date
dennyjc
Well-Known Member
==================================Forecast surge for lunchtime tide today is negative 0.75m, so it will be lower than usual. Forecast for early am tomorrow is positive ~1.3m which is what the fuss is about.
Because it's blowing down the North Sea which is where our tide comes from. Combine that with low pressure here and high pressure elsewhere.
The last BIG tide was 8th-9th November 2007
The maximum surge was 2.0m at Harwich (Shotley) but occurred well after low water
Still , the height of tide at Harwich/Shotley peaked at 5.0m
This left just 600mm spare on the marina piles
So - if the tide gets up to 5.6m today
those boats still afloat in the marina may be in trouble !!!!
I'm one of them so ------ I'm just off to get my calculator
Lucky Duck
Well-Known Member
If you don't mind sharing - which marina is your boat based in?
Stork_III
Well-Known Member
Shotley, 4 boats from mine.
dennyjc
Well-Known Member
Thanks - yes Shotley
I've just had the calculator out (well Excell)
And I reckon that the pontoons it will rise to the very top of the Shotley posts
According to the tide on 8th Nov 2008 (peak 5.0m with 600mm spare on the piles)
today's tide may peak at 5.6m
(attached graph is just HHA predictions plus NTSLF surge)
pvb
Well-Known Member
Hmmm, I wonder whether the management has a contingency plan? It's not as if the pontoons can go very far, but the potential for damage is still significant.
sailorman
Well-Known Member
Will the management think to keep the lock gates shut
pvb
Well-Known Member
No point, the water will be way over the top of the gates!
maybh1
Well-Known Member
Just had a message from Fox's Marina
Due to expected high winds and tides they are pulling some of the larger boats out including Sea Dweller to aleviate stress on the pontoons
May
Xx
Due to expected high winds and tides they are pulling some of the larger boats out including Sea Dweller to aleviate stress on the pontoons
May
Xx
Cobra
Well-Known Member
Just heard they have evacuated 2500 households in Jaywick!
Someone, somewhere must have some good info about a seriously large amount of water coming down the North Sea tonight!!
Someone, somewhere must have some good info about a seriously large amount of water coming down the North Sea tonight!!
chinita
Well-Known Member
I wonder what they mean by 'pulling some of the larger boats out'?
Pulling them off the pontoons? Or lifting them out?
Pulling them off the pontoons? Or lifting them out?
maybh1
Well-Known Member
I wonder what they mean by 'pulling some of the larger boats out'?
Pulling them off the pontoons? Or lifting them out?
They are lifting ours out today till Saturday
May
Xx
DavidofMersea
Well-Known Member
...or someone in a panic, or someone from the media pumping up a story. I doubt there are 2500 occupied households in Jaywick to be evacuated
Last edited:
pvb
Well-Known Member
I think if you look at the tidal surge prediction graph, you can't really ignore the risk.
.
Cobra
Well-Known Member
David will be sitting on his chair on the beach tonight reasoning with the tide that it should really stay where it is and not come any nearer!!! I really do hope you have the last laugh here David!!!
alant
Well-Known Member
Don't you always?
MikeBz
Well-Known Member
The media don't produce the tidal surge predictions, nor choose to evacuate thousands of households.
ex-Gladys
Well-Known Member
...and NTsLF is an academic institution, not media...
DavidofMersea
Well-Known Member
I know, but how do you know thousands of households are being evacuated? Did the media tell you? ... and if thousand are, how much of this is hysteria?
trevorr
Well-Known Member
If it helps any, the tide is currently 2M above prediction at Immingham and still moving away from the line.
Trev
Trev