Baddox
Well-Known Member
The surfers are already getting wet with excitement over the long range MSW forecast.
48ft Swell On The Way Here
- Thread starter Baddox
- Start date
sarabande
Well-Known Member
Simon - help ! What is causing that please ?
Any impact predictions for the Bristol Channel ?
Any impact predictions for the Bristol Channel ?
oldbilbo
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Three kings
Well-Known Member
11 days away is cyrstal ball territory. Forecasting at those time frames makes economists look good.
William_H
Well-Known Member
Winds
Or think of the town of Exmouth (West Australia) currently under threat of a cyclone with 300Kmh winds (150 knots ) in the next day or so. Yes it is 300km away at the moment but still heading south. We hope it will dissipate while out at sea. Fortunately Exmouth has had it all before and all buildings are cyclone hardened but about 10 years ago the yacht club was ruined with similar winds. Cyclones have been known to make it to Perth and further south fortunately diminished in colder latitudes. So we hang on to our hats. olewill
Or think of the town of Exmouth (West Australia) currently under threat of a cyclone with 300Kmh winds (150 knots ) in the next day or so. Yes it is 300km away at the moment but still heading south. We hope it will dissipate while out at sea. Fortunately Exmouth has had it all before and all buildings are cyclone hardened but about 10 years ago the yacht club was ruined with similar winds. Cyclones have been known to make it to Perth and further south fortunately diminished in colder latitudes. So we hang on to our hats. olewill
Seajet
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Good luck Olewill, we're getting a lot of coverage of the fires on the news, our hearts go out to Australia; you lot never do things by halves, do you ?!
William_H
Well-Known Member
Fires
Thanks Seajet No real worries with fires on this side of Oz. But we have had some b hot weather about 5 days in a row before and after Christmas over 40 every day. Too hot for sailing unless you sail at night.
olewill
Thanks Seajet No real worries with fires on this side of Oz. But we have had some b hot weather about 5 days in a row before and after Christmas over 40 every day. Too hot for sailing unless you sail at night.
olewill
lenseman
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Passageweather does not show such a dramatic forecast and what it does show tracks north east up the Denmark Straits on the 19th onwards?
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DanTribe
Well-Known Member
BBC TV has just shown pictures of the red dust storm at sea. Spectacular!
Is that anywhere near you? They only said it was in Western Australia.
King Penguin
Well-Known Member
Too hot for sailing........one can only dream........
William_H
Well-Known Member
Near yes but still1500kms north of here. The cyclone has not gone to the coast but continued south now cat 3 only 50 knots and expected to dwindle. At least it might bring us some rain. That would be nice. olewill
wotayottie
Well-Known Member
vyv_cox
Well-Known Member
I would agree if the forecast was for wind/weather, but for swells it is probably pretty accurate. Swells are generated by a storm that is happening now, waves radiating from it. Waves at sea experience very little damping: in an exercise a set of waves was monitored for three circuits of the Southern Ocean. The Continental Shelf takes a lot of the energy out for us, but there still could be some significant wave heights. Would be nice to see in Biarritz!
jimi
Well-Known Member
Vyv, the forecast is for the weather to happen on the 21st with the swell to arrive on the 24th. That is crystal ball territory IMHO!
rivonia
Well-Known Member
It's not April the first is it ?
Peter
Peter
vyv_cox
Well-Known Member
Ah, I see what you mean. Previously I could not see the article on my PC, now I see it on my iPad.