simonjk
Well-Known Member
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Hi All,
Here we go again.
The unsettled weather staying ith us, and with the speed of movement of these systems trying to forecast timings is hard (that's my excuse anyway). So, do check the latest forecast.
If your friends want to receive this forecast all they need do is send an email to sailingweather-subscribe@weatherweb.net
Have good one,
Simon
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST
==========================
Issued: 1400 Thursday 16th November 2006
FRIDAY ( see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn301.png and http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/bracknell+36.gif )
Suggestions of a shallow low crossing Ireland and into Northern England during the day. A cold front pushes eastwards too, becoming slowed down as the low travels northwards close to the front. The parent low will be just to the west of Scotland.
A wet and windy morning for much of the UK, most of the rain tending to be showery in nature and not particularly heavy. Drier for Ireland, especially the east.
In the afternoon the cold front edges east and the result of this will be to bring some strong winds to eastern parts of England, together with some heavy bursts of rain, especially in the Channel, southern England and the Midlands. Staying wet for the north of Scotland, but for the rest of Scotland, Wales and Ireland the weather will be more showery, although some places staying dry.
Winds S 25-30 gust 45kt (F8 gust F9) ahead of the front, becoming SW 18-28kt (F5-F6) behind it.
SATURDAY ( see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn541.png and http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/bracknell+60.gif )
Low pressure still dominates through Saturday, but with a weak ridge building, this should dampen off the showers a touch. A warm front will be into western ireland in the afternoon, this reaching western Scotland in the evening. The ridge tending to strengthen in the afternoon and this will be bringing better weather to much of the UK.
So for many there is a risk of some showers in the morning, mainly on windward facing coasts and hills. The tendency will be for these to disperse, although for western and southern coasts the threat of showers is there throughout the day.
As the afternoon progresses thicker cloud moves into western Ireland and western Scotland bringing rain here, together with a strengthening wind.
Winds mainly SW 12-20kt (F4-F5) in the south, becominh SW 25 gust 40kt (F6 gust F8) in west Scotland and Northern Ireland.
SUNDAY ( see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn781.png and http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/bracknell+84.gif )
A very disturbed situation on Sunday. Low pressure west of Ireland will be forcing a build of pressure ahead of it (in the form of the surface ridge). There will be a secondary depression forming off the southwest approaches in the upper trough, this swinging northeast and pushing fronts through much of southern and western UK and Ireland later. The detail of the forecast is unsure and the timings are likely to change.
At present I think that Sunday morning should be dry for much of northern England and southern Scotland. Increasing winds and heavy rain for southern parts of England, with heavy rain pushing across the south in the afternoon. Further heavy rain or showers into ireland and western Scotland with the winds here to severe gale force.
Winds mainly SE 15-20kt (F4-F5) in the ridge ahead of the fronts, then cylonic 15kt (F4) behind it, although SW 30 gust 45kt (F7 gust F8) in the English Channel possibly. Cyclonic 35 gust 50kt (F8 to F10) in west Scotland and Northern Ireland later.
**ends**
BOOK AHEAD FORECASTS:
Our forecasters will write a forecast specifically for your vessel & route, and email it to you.
Simply book in advance and we'll email the forecast to you at the time you specify.
You'll also be able to telephone the forecaster to discuss the forecast.
Forecasts can be made for anywhere in the world, and cost just £12.
To book your forecast go to http://www.weatherweb.net/index_files/buy.htm
*******************************************************************************************************
Hi All,
Here we go again.
The unsettled weather staying ith us, and with the speed of movement of these systems trying to forecast timings is hard (that's my excuse anyway). So, do check the latest forecast.
If your friends want to receive this forecast all they need do is send an email to sailingweather-subscribe@weatherweb.net
Have good one,
Simon
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST
==========================
Issued: 1400 Thursday 16th November 2006
FRIDAY ( see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn301.png and http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/bracknell+36.gif )
Suggestions of a shallow low crossing Ireland and into Northern England during the day. A cold front pushes eastwards too, becoming slowed down as the low travels northwards close to the front. The parent low will be just to the west of Scotland.
A wet and windy morning for much of the UK, most of the rain tending to be showery in nature and not particularly heavy. Drier for Ireland, especially the east.
In the afternoon the cold front edges east and the result of this will be to bring some strong winds to eastern parts of England, together with some heavy bursts of rain, especially in the Channel, southern England and the Midlands. Staying wet for the north of Scotland, but for the rest of Scotland, Wales and Ireland the weather will be more showery, although some places staying dry.
Winds S 25-30 gust 45kt (F8 gust F9) ahead of the front, becoming SW 18-28kt (F5-F6) behind it.
SATURDAY ( see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn541.png and http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/bracknell+60.gif )
Low pressure still dominates through Saturday, but with a weak ridge building, this should dampen off the showers a touch. A warm front will be into western ireland in the afternoon, this reaching western Scotland in the evening. The ridge tending to strengthen in the afternoon and this will be bringing better weather to much of the UK.
So for many there is a risk of some showers in the morning, mainly on windward facing coasts and hills. The tendency will be for these to disperse, although for western and southern coasts the threat of showers is there throughout the day.
As the afternoon progresses thicker cloud moves into western Ireland and western Scotland bringing rain here, together with a strengthening wind.
Winds mainly SW 12-20kt (F4-F5) in the south, becominh SW 25 gust 40kt (F6 gust F8) in west Scotland and Northern Ireland.
SUNDAY ( see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn781.png and http://www2.wetter3.de/Fax/bracknell+84.gif )
A very disturbed situation on Sunday. Low pressure west of Ireland will be forcing a build of pressure ahead of it (in the form of the surface ridge). There will be a secondary depression forming off the southwest approaches in the upper trough, this swinging northeast and pushing fronts through much of southern and western UK and Ireland later. The detail of the forecast is unsure and the timings are likely to change.
At present I think that Sunday morning should be dry for much of northern England and southern Scotland. Increasing winds and heavy rain for southern parts of England, with heavy rain pushing across the south in the afternoon. Further heavy rain or showers into ireland and western Scotland with the winds here to severe gale force.
Winds mainly SE 15-20kt (F4-F5) in the ridge ahead of the fronts, then cylonic 15kt (F4) behind it, although SW 30 gust 45kt (F7 gust F8) in the English Channel possibly. Cyclonic 35 gust 50kt (F8 to F10) in west Scotland and Northern Ireland later.
**ends**