Weather School Musing ... Change of Air Mass

simonjk

Well-Known Member
Joined
6 Mar 2003
Messages
2,342
www.sailingweather.co.uk
Hi,

Dry weather has been dominating the weather over much of the British Isles through September, thanks to high pressure which has variously been over the country or somewhere close by.

Things are going to change though, and are doing so already, as a cold front moves southwards through Scotland, and makes its way through the whole of the country by tomorrow morning.

So I thought this was a good time to highlight a change of air mass. At the moment we have a tropical air mass (of sorts) over us. Typically this would bring wet and mild weather, but because it has travelled around the high pressure it is drying out by the time it reaches the British Isles, and so we get the benefit of the warmth, but not the rain.

Behind the cold front the air mass changes to a Polar Maritime, bringing brighter skies and a mix of sunshine and showers. The showers are not going to be too heavy or widespread, and most of the country escape them tomorrow, but the change is really highlighting the fact that the weather is going to go into a more unsettled period.

As you know I am publishing a DVD called Weather Whys which is a series of short videos about the weather. I’ve uploaded the two on Tropical maritime and Polar Maritime air masses for you to watch, just to explain a little more about them.

You can see them at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2POY_Jp7VE and http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXhY1nTa89w respectively.

I hope they are of interest, and are useful.

Best wishes,
Simon
 
Yep, at last we have had a dry morning, so I managed a pootle out into the Sound. Pleased to find that after nearly two weeks of near-constant rain, she was totally dry inside. The rainwater leaks are cured, for the moment.
 
Hi,

"Dry weather has been dominating the weather over much of the British Isles through September, thanks to high pressure which has variously been over the country or somewhere close by."

What absolute rubbish! Typical Southeast England attitude, where you think that the world ends north of Birmingham. :rolleyes:

Try telling that to the folk in the northwest of Scotland.
 
Hi,

"Dry weather has been dominating the weather over much of the British Isles through September, thanks to high pressure which has variously been over the country or somewhere close by."

What absolute rubbish! Typical Southeast England attitude, where you think that the world ends north of Birmingham. :rolleyes:

Try telling that to the folk in the northwest of Scotland.

Well - thats why we all left some time back!:D
 
"What absolute rubbish! Typical Southeast England attitude, where you think that the world ends north of Birmingham"

Read what I said..."Dry weather has been dominating the weather over much of the British Isles". Yes, I know it has not been dry everywhere, but if I mentioned everywhere that wasn't dry, or warm, or cold, or sunny then the message would be so long you wouoldn't read it!

:)

Simon
 
"What absolute rubbish! Typical Southeast England attitude, where you think that the world ends north of Birmingham"

Read what I said..."Dry weather has been dominating the weather over much of the British Isles". Yes, I know it has not been dry everywhere, but if I mentioned everywhere that wasn't dry, or warm, or cold, or sunny then the message would be so long you wouoldn't read it!

:)

Simon

Don't let 'em wind you up Simon, you keep on advertising fella! :-)
 
weatherspeak?

Don't let 'em wind you up Simon, you keep on advertising fella! :-)

What he's trying to say - in the best MetOffice speak is that it's going to be "unsettled" over all the UK - rather than just up here;-) widespread rubbish then?
The jet stream is heading south - allowing access to more of the UK to nasty low pressure systems, rather than just up here (56 North).
I reckon there may well be snow on the hills this week - admittedly high up. I've snowboarded on Halloween twice recently... it didn't last but it was cool being out on snow in October at home :-D
If you want to check up on snow probability - try this link
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cg...=ngp_europe2&prod=850&dtg=2009093012&set=Core

850hpA is roughly 1100m height - so- with relative humidity you can estimate snow precipitation. The US Navy public weather site it thoroughly useful. I work in the offshore oil&gas business - and the Navy site frequently warns me of possible conditions in advance of very expensive "custom" forecasting..

Graeme
 
"What absolute rubbish! Typical Southeast England attitude, where you think that the world ends north of Birmingham"

Read what I said..."Dry weather has been dominating the weather over much of the British Isles". Yes, I know it has not been dry everywhere, but if I mentioned everywhere that wasn't dry, or warm, or cold, or sunny then the message would be so long you wouoldn't read it!

:)

Simon

So what's the point in saying it, then. You might as well say, "There's been a variety of weather over the British Isles..."
And, just think, you'd probably be correct. :)
 
I hope they are of interest, and are useful.
Simon, your musings are always most interesting and enlightening. And uncannily accurate. And certainly never rubbish.

The "I live in a silly place" grumblings were I hope light hearted, but for the avoidance of any doubt, please please think out loud on the forum as much as you like!

BTW the best thing about your forecasting delivery style IMHO is your willingness to say "I don't know" which is as far from Met Office Speak as you can get.

And yet again I wholeheartedly agree with Scotty. I must be poorly.:)
 
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