Weather looks a little fruity this fri/sat

GHA said:
All the same data anyway, I like windy as there's so much in there, satellite images, ship reports, live radar, recent wind history against forecasts and easy comparison of the different models. Great site :cool:
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yeah pretty much, they all get updated at different times though, windy also has a great mobile / tablet app too.
 
Take a thought for all the boats and crews still out in the Irish Sea doing the Fastnet race...

We took the (difficult) decision to turn back just 40 miles short of the Fastnet Rock. Carrying on would have meant a further ten hour beat, followed by a lighter wind, becalmed for a few hours 40 miles NW of the scillies then a possible beat into 45mph SE winds all the rest of the way back...

We were fortunate enough to be able to download up to date weather GRIBS all the way so were aware that the forecast was fairly consistent.. We're now just heading into Plymouth after a lovely sail back.

Yacht tracker here...

https://www.rolexfastnetrace.com/competitors/race-documents/fleet-tracking
 
I was looking forward to watching the Swale barge match on Saturday. Might try watching from the shore at Seasalter if they don't cancel it. It was blowing a bit when we were on the Cambria last year without any noticeable affect so perhaps it will go ahead.

Martin
 
martinriches said:
I was looking forward to watching the Swale barge match on Saturday. Might try watching from the shore at Seasalter if they don't cancel it. It was blowing a bit when we were on the Cambria last year without any noticeable affect so perhaps it will go ahead.

Martin
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From the Kentish Sail Association website:


The 2019 Swale Match, Saturday 10th August

Having taken careful note of the developing depression due over the UK at the weekend, along with associated winds of 40 mph, the Committee have regretfully taken the decision to cancel this year's Swale Match; it's a disappointing decision to have to take but the only sensible option.

Next year's Match will be on the 15th August, not the 8th as advertised in some places. We'll hope for some gentler summer weather.
 
Certainly my planned bimble up and down the S Cornish Coast is out for next week. For a start getting dinghy to the yacht across half mile of turbulent Tamar is likely to be so frightening that we would have to hide away with calming brandy for a week. And then six hour of seasickness once we get out of Plymouth Sound. Ho Hum. Actually NO!

Told boss I'm deferring leave to catch up with work
 
GHA said:
All the same data anyway, I like windy as there's so much in there, satellite images, ship reports, live radar, recent wind history against forecasts and easy comparison of the different models. Great site :cool:
Click to expand...
It seemed like the windspeed was much higher on Tuesday than predicted by windy just a day or two before. In excess of 30 knots as we came out of the lee of Portland Bill; I'm sure I even saw a gust of 40kts. My recollection is that Windy was predicting less than 20kts.

My crew was not happy, and we turned back. I would probably have felt the same, had I the brains to identify the danger.
 
KompetentKrew said:
It seemed like the windspeed was much higher on Tuesday than predicted by windy just a day or two before. In excess of 30 knots as we came out of the lee of Portland Bill; I'm sure I even saw a gust of 40kts. My recollection is that Windy was predicting less than 20kts.

My crew was not happy, and we turned back. I would probably have felt the same, had I the brains to identify the danger.
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So much on the web! :cool:

Found this site > http://www.weathercast.co.uk/world-weather/weather-stations/obsid/3857.html

With data from Isle of Portland
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So at 15:00 showing 19Kts gusting 25Kts, then I just happen to have a little script set up which saves GFS gribs to dropbox so same time from the gfs forecast shows >>

aZ0YT7P.png


18Kts gusting 26Kts, pretty bang on! But different from your experience, which I think shows just how much localised conditions can vary so much even over short distances. The weather models really can't cope with stuff like that.

And it did do much worse later on, 21.00 forecast 18/G23 instead of the actual 24/G32.
 
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Over the past few months I have found the arome model on Windy to be pretty damn accurate on local effects which the coarser models cannot pick up - only 24 hours or so, so no good for forward planning, but excellent for confirming ‘go’ and weather routing on longer passages.
 
Safely made it into Crosshaven, S. Ireland tonight to hole up ... its wild tonight, 20 gusting 30 ... raining buckets. Tomorrow should be spectacular :)

Hoping to get into Kinsale on Sunday.
 
Nipped across to to ostend from bradwell to ostend on wednesday. Wind 20/25 kts gusts to just over 30. Took 14 hours but i was SH and managed to be sea sick for 8 of them . Chucked up 9 times. Glad i did not leave it until saturday as planned
 
I don't suffer seasickness, but do get severe CVS cyclic vomiting syndrome every 10 days or when stressed, when it hits I'm turning myself violently inside out every few minutes for three days and nights, no sleep - so I do know what you must have felt like singlehanded.

You did bloody well to keep control and make a safe arrival :encouragement:
 
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