Weather all’s

[lustyd]

It isn't pleasant here either, but it's better than there. Somehow we got allocated a berth on the "good" side of the marina too. The boats on the other side might well touch spreaders this evening

 

[franksingleton]

If IFS is ECMF then it was a point higher BF which was lower than other models as well. All the models under predicted, with F9/10 steady winds. On the validation section of PW, based on last week, AIFS ranked 1st for wind speed. Today’s storm is worse than all the models predicted.

That might just be chance. It might be that there is simply not enough data for the AI learning process to have enough severe weather situations. If there are, maybe, 4 or 5 more severe storms with AIFS consistently under-predicting to a greater extent then that would be significant. Just remember that all models will under-predict the strongest winds,

 

[SaltIre]

I saw a video of Loch Aline and am glad we went south, currently in Howth with a measly 58kt wind.

Lifeboat crews in the Highlands have been called to a yacht rescue during "violent storm winds" on Loch Aline.
Oban RNLI said it assisted Tobermory lifeboat at about 20:30 on Friday after the yacht dragged its anchor and the man on board injured his hand.

The incident came during an Amber weather warning, with gusts of up to 96mph recorded in the Inner Hebrides during Storm Amy.
Oban RNLI said the crew waited for an hour for winds to calm as the man "refused to be evacuated from his vessel", returning to Oban at 01:30.
Oban Lifeboat called out to yacht rescue in violent storm winds

https://rnli.org/news-and-media/2025/october/04/oban-lifeboat-called-out-at-height-of-storm-amy

 

[lustyd]

Wow, wouldn’t have anchored in there with that forecast. Thankfully the video I saw was from friends on a dive trip who sat in the sauna during the worst of it!