The latest headlines from Metcheck!!

Chris_Robb

Chris_Robb

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Wet 'n Wild
Added [Tuesday July 06 2004 : 7:51:06 AM]

Whoooaaah! Watch this puppy explode over the next 24 hours as cold air hits mild air and.... boom!

The action is now starting as a cold pool of air from Greenland is now heading Southwards towards the Iberian peninsular. Later today the upper air trough which is over Spain will start to compress and 'sharpen' (bit like turning from a U shape to a V shape). With all the cold air piling in from the Northeast, it has to go somewhere and is forced up the other side of the trough. It's all this action which then starts the system rotating and the new low is born.
During Wednesday the thundery low will roll Northwards and with warm air feeding the beast not just over France but also mild, moist air from the Bay of Biscay, this system will be crammed to the brim with moisture.





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I'm not too impresssed with metcheck forecasts - they seem to be little melodramatic at times and don't seem to be too accurate - not for Argyll at least

<hr width=100% size=1><font color=purple>regards
Claymore<font color=purple>
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You widnae know whit weather wiz apart from the pitter patter of tiny rain drops on ra ceiling

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Wel - thats an interestin wee observation...tell me this then smartypants, hoo wid ye kin whiit it feels like tae hae a rudder, er a hoddin tank er a 3rd battery. An ra answer is ye widnae cos ye dinnae ken yer airse frae yer elbow ye jessie

<hr width=100% size=1><font color=purple>regards
Claymore<font color=purple>
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Metcheck is the 'Sun' of the weather forecasting world. Theyr.net is the broadsheet.. I know where I place my confidence when checking out weather forecasts /forums/images/icons/laugh.gif

<hr width=100% size=1>Me transmitte sursum, caledoni
 
Try Harbourmasters' Forecasts as well. I've been following them and they seem to be on the ball so far. Theyr.net is excellent but a couple of weekends ago, they got it totally, totally, absolutely wrong. (The only time I've ever seen them way out.)

<A target="_blank" HREF=http://www.begleys.com/weather.htm>Useful links for Irish waters.
 
I've just looked at them (08.00 Wed) and they are still showing yesterday's forecast for my area. I'm a pretty good forecaster myself for what happened yesterday, it is today I'm not so good at and I need to know that today, not tomorrow!

<hr width=100% size=1><font size=1>Sermons from my pulpit are with tongue firmly in cheek and come with no warranty!</font size=1>
 
I now only ever look at metchecks headlines - their area forecast are a load of .....
Theyr is the one I now always look at. The tabloid weather forecaster


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Looking out my window they have the wind forecast right, looking at the Met office rain radar they have the rain right on cue. I generally find them more accurate than most.

<hr width=100% size=1><A target="_blank" HREF=http://www.yachtinguniverse.com>http://www.yachtinguniverse.com</A>
 
WeatherOnline...

Yesterday WeatherOnline city forecast for Southampton gave the wind as "NW 2 (gusts to 81 knots)" so I guess they're hedging their bets. Haven't checked it today.

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Re: Planning a trip Jimi?

No, but your wash down will have plenty of additional fresh water /forums/images/icons/smile.gif

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I have always looked at our own Bracknell forecasts and compared them with the normal forecast from WindGuru. Windguru provided the best case, and bracknell, the worst. An interpretation somewhere between the two has been fairly good.

However Windguru now have an experimental system based on MM5 model configured for area covering central Europe. Model has 27 km resolution, is calculated 4 times per day and produces forecast for 72 hours. This is running in parrallel with the normal, but has provided much more accurate forecasts - well worth a look at <A target="_blank" HREF=http://www.windguru.cz/int/index.php?odh=4&doh=22&wj=knots&tj=c&fhours=180&userp=talbot&psswd=&uid=&user=talbot&pageid=0&odeslano=1&num=&spotcislo=76&viewspot=Go!&search=&uid=ff4e2661e181f6702dffa352c40bf73e&id_user=12063>here</A> but you will probably have to log in yourself.


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Harbourmaster forecast...

...for Chichester reckoned Force 5, Force 4 later. According to Chimet and Cambermet at 1015 it was Force 6, gusting 7, at 1330 it was Force 8 gusting 9.

I think I will stick to the Shipping Forecast, which foretold 6 to 8, perhaps 9 later.

Me, I'm at home and the boat is snug up a drying creek (I hope...)

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But where is the thunder????? This link shows where it is - looks like its going NE and will miss us.
<A target="_blank" HREF=http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rsfloc.html>http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rsfloc.html</A>

I find there headlines good - but I have ceased to look at the area forecasts as they invariably seem to be doing something completely different


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They seem to have something wrong with how the publish - sometimes the area weather makes no sence at all. I used to email them when it was obviously wrong - frankly now I only look at the headlines which have quite a good accuracy - but are always sensational!

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Wow!, there's one hell of a difference between the standard and experimental forecasts (at least for this particular next 72 hours, for the south coast locations I've selected)

<hr width=100% size=1>Me transmitte sursum, caledoni
 
Pity the experimental doesnt also include rain. But it does seem to be a much more accurate forecast of these "unsettled times". (= yucky weather)

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