Resources to Predict Tidal Surges

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Slowboat35

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In my remote end of the Norfolk Broads we are frequently affected by non-normal tides which can and do flood roads and accesses with ever increasing frequency.

What resources are available online for predicting tidal surges in a quantative manner?

This one Real-time/near real-time data display for Lowestoft | National Tidal and Sea Level Facility seems useful, are there others or better ones?

Even being able to reliably see a tide substantially exceeding it's predictions four hours in advance is useful (which is the best real-time info we can expect from a coastal report given our location) but anything that might predict beyond that would be most useful.
 
The calculations are for the professionals (such as NTSLF) and you will see from any of the predictions which come in different colours that they change quite a bit. It's all to do with where the storm centres are and what the pressures are... I got stuck on Mersea Saturday night when the prediction was 4.3m and the surge was well over a metre... A bit similar today, big negative surge yesterday evening... If the weather forecast is of low certainty then the surge forecast has the same reduced certainty...
 
Slowboat35 said:
In my remote end of the Norfolk Broads we are frequently affected by non-normal tides which can and do flood roads and accesses with ever increasing frequency.

What resources are available online for predicting tidal surges in a quantative manner?

This one Real-time/near real-time data display for Lowestoft | National Tidal and Sea Level Facility seems useful, are there others or better ones?

Even being able to reliably see a tide substantially exceeding it's predictions four hours in advance is useful (which is the best real-time info we can expect from a coastal report given our location) but anything that might predict beyond that would be most useful.
Click to expand...
This one on the NTSL site gives a good prediction of surges. This is for Sheerness, but go back to the Storm Surges page and pick Cromer or other local port.
I put a page of links on our club website together a few years ago with useful links when there is a surge tide due. All related to Sheerness I'm afraid. I have quite an interest in surge tides as my wife and I own a holiday home on an exposed beach.
 
Assume you have already signed up for live flood warnings at your property (call,text,email) from the Environment agency but perhaps these are not quantative .
 
bluerm166 said:
Assume you have already signed up for live flood warnings at your property (call,text,email) from the Environment agency but perhaps these are not quantative .
Click to expand...
Yes, but they seem to be issued for any tide around the 6m mark. A quick look at the surge prediction and wind direction and speed gives a good indication what to expect. living about 50 miles away, there’s not a lot we can do anyway. Having experienced the aftermath of the 1978 storm and have pictures from 1953, it always puts me on edge a little. A NE gale and big tide isn’t good for us about 1/2 mile from the E Swale entrance.
 
Thanks for the above links..
Luckily I don't need the flood warnings, the house we have now was on an island during the 1953 floods..
In Michaels Frosts not a hurricane, my sailing boat of the time sank on it's mooring, but since the water depth is only 4ft it didn't take much to pump out..

For the normal tides on the broads I use this ..
Norfolk-Broads.org click on the word tides and select your dates..

and instant river level monitoring.
Map of River Level Monitoring Stations in the UK

and I look at my sailing clubs web cams and check on the boat..
 
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