Mondays Storms

Chris_Robb

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This is from Metcheck - the weather equivalent of the daily mirror - lets see if they have got it right!

The devastating system which brought nearly a foot of rain in 24 hours to the Dominican Republic is now pushing out into the Atlantic Ocean and has it's eyes set for the UK.

With advances by NOAA in Tropical Forecasting, we can now watch the remants of storm systems join temperate depressions and reach us just a few days later.

We are currently expecting the storm system which is at 60W,30N to move Northwest slowly over the next 48 hours but 'hitch a lift' on a wave depression on Saturday in the mid-Atlantic and run into the UK on Monday morning affecting Southern and Central areas.

Rainfall amounts may still be exceptional, so please keep an eye on this situation over the next 48 hours.



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They seem to change their minds quite a bit - I wonder if they don't need to go out and stand on a roof and have look from time to time

<hr width=100% size=1><font color=purple>regards
Claymore<font color=purple>
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So with Twickenham on Sunday and Birthday parties on Monday, I won't feel so bad about going "up" the pub that day then!

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Weatheronline and Met Office both currently giving light 5-10kt forecasts for Monday off the South Central and SE coast ... as you say we'll have to see who is right, but I know which my money is on!
 
The only storm we have forecast is the Division 3 Play Off Final in Cardiff on Sunday!
Seagulls..............

<hr width=100% size=1>...If you can find the simple solution to a complex problem, you've got it wrong!.........
 
The only storm we have forecast is the Division 2 Play Off Final in Cardiff on Sunday!
Seagulls..............

<hr width=100% size=1>...If you can find the simple solution to a complex problem, you've got it wrong!.........
 
Another worrying statement,

At this stage the forecast for Monday is still unsure and I certainly wouldn't be writing those sort of statements!

I also find it intersting it being referred to as the "same storm". Clearly it isn't because the systems (low pressure, not storm) is modified to such an extent as it crosses the Atlantic that it will bear little likeness to the original feature. Remeber that pressure systems constantly evolve.

Certainly wouldn't expect more than your average weather from low pressure and fronts in early June, but we'll see. My site (Weatherweb.net) is playing this down.

Cheers,
Simon


<hr width=100% size=1>Simon Keeling
Managing Director
Weather Consultancy Services Ltd
www.wcsmarine.com
 
Simon - I always find metchecks tabloid approach ammusing - how ever they have been known to get it right when everyone else said something else! I don't think their approach is particularly responsible - but it does make it more interesting.

What I want to know is what Friday Night will bring us for the Solent - to Cherbourg Double. - I supect SE going S the SW - bloody beat all the way there!

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Hi Chris,

Yes, they have been right at times.

As to Friday night in the Solent, yes a SSE F2-F3 at best! It may be wet as well, with visibility moderate, perhaps even poor with a risk of mist and fog patches.

Cheers,
Simon

<hr width=100% size=1>Simon Keeling
Managing Director
Weather Consultancy Services Ltd
www.wcsmarine.com
 
I'll have to take a reign check until monday - I am doing the Cherbourg double in a Beneteau 477 so should be back Sunday evening. Might be in trouble with her in doors if I bizz off to the Pub, - I call you

Chris

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