franksingleton
Well-Known Member
This has just changed. Any views?
I was playing with the weather radar page last week. I think it is superb. Scroll the time line bar left to right and you can get any animation at any speed and time frame you could reasonably want. Zoom the map and you get impressive detail too.Thanks. We all have different perspectives. I miss the last 12 hours radar imagery and find the southern edge, cutting off the Channel rather frustrating. I have taken to looking at UK rainfall radar map - Met Office. This is a bit of an overkill on recent actual rainfall or, at least, the radar signal but it does show the Channel well.
It is interesting to take screenshots of forecast rainfall, say 6, 12, 18 ….. hours ahead and compare with actual outcomes. It makes you realise that claims of services to predict detail are not credible. Even the Met Office with all its data and computing power cannot get the detail tight, so how can those, usually private, organisation which run detailed models with no detailed data input?I was playing with the weather radar page last week. I think it is superb. Scroll the time line bar left to right and you can get any animation at any speed and time frame you could reasonably want. Zoom the map and you get impressive detail too.
Indeed. When I looked last night a front was forecast to soak Manchester at 3:00pm. It came through at 1:00. That wasn’t too bad. I realise the rain shower graphics are just representations of random locations.It is interesting to take screenshots of forecast rainfall, say 6, 12, 18 ….. hours ahead and compare with actual outcomes. It makes you realise that claims of services to predict detail are not credible. Even the Met Office with all its data and computing power cannot get the detail tight, so how can those, usually private, organisation which run detailed models with no detailed data input?
The Met Office model often gets onset and cessation of frontal rain, or organised areas generally, very well. they do not get the detail in fronts well nor shower detail. I would not expect them to because of the noise level in the atmosphere.
Deleted will try againIndeed. When I looked last night a front was forecast to soak Manchester at 3:00pm. It came through at 1:00. That wasn’t too bad. I realise the rain shower graphics are just representations of random locations.
You can actually see the difference between forecast and actual weather continually. The radar image shown is 30 mins behind the current time, but if you click 5 mins after the latest radar image you get the forecast image from 25 mins ago. As I look now, it is pretty good, but I have no idea when the forecast is updated. Clearly the more recently they update, the more accurate the forecast image will be.
The detailed forecast is run out to 54 hours using data from 00, 06, 09, 12, 18, 21 hours over an area from md-Atlantic to about the Urals. At all other hours, the forecast to 12 hours only at all other hours. See https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/resear...-systems/unified-model/weathering-forecasting out to mid Atlantic and as far East as the Urals (I think). At all other hours the forecast is run out to 12 hours. I do not know when updated forecasts appear online. I would not have thought that it could be less than one hour and would expect it to be nearer two hours for the 54 hour forecast.Indeed. When I looked last night a front was forecast to soak Manchester at 3:00pm. It came through at 1:00. That wasn’t too bad. I realise the rain shower graphics are just representations of random locations.
You can actually see the difference between forecast and actual weather continually. The radar image shown is 30 mins behind the current time, but if you click 5 mins after the latest radar image you get the forecast image from 25 mins ago. As I look now, it is pretty good, but I have no idea when the forecast is updated. Clearly the more recently they update, the more accurate the forecast image will be.