Hurricane heading for Lisbon.

GHA

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Likely downgraded by the time it gets there but still nasty.

GFS had it heading for the algarve but latest model run show it agreeing with the other models heading towards Lisbon.

Been a bit of an odd year for Atlantic weather....

Stay safe!

http://wxcharts.eu/?panel=large&mod...plottype=10&lat=37.116&lon=-7.833&skewtstep=0


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/084733.shtml?tswind120#contents

084733.png
 
Looking at Windguru and TV weather, you're going to get it worse on the Algarve. Our current Lisbon abode is built to be quake proof, are your tie down straps tight?:)

The latest GFS shows Lisbon for touchdown as well now, same as the rest of the models so looks like it will miss down here, just a tail swipe from the rain and wind below the centre.

Interestingly, this site >> http://wxcharts.eu/?panel=large&mod...plottype=10&lat=37.116&lon=-7.833&skewtstep=0

seems to get the latest GFS before windy & saildocs. They've caught up now with the 6AM release showing it heading towards you, might be a little damp out tonight! :)

Here it comes.....

https://en.sat24.com/image?type=visual&region=eu&type=visual&region=eu
 
Last edited:
Latest model runs have it hitting north of Lisbon -
http://www.severe-weather.eu/outlooks-day1/outlook-day-1-2-valid-13-14-10-2018/

[FONT=&quot]The system will interact with the cold front behind it and is expected to strengthen significantly just at the time of landfall. Leslie is expected to make landfall around 21-00h UTC about 150-200 km north of Lisbon, Portugal. Peak gusts of 140-180 km/h are expected in the central part of the system, producing a high risk for damage and potential life-threatening conditions. Additionally, excessive torrential convective and orographic rainfall is expected along the coastal are and inland, with up to 30-60 mm of rainfall over a period of several hours.[/FONT]
 
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