Bank holiday weekend weather?

[Happy1]

Anyone got a pretty reliable weather forecast for this weekend in Poole or Southampton?

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[Alistairr]

And Loch Lomond area.

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[qsiv]

Saturday : Well established high over southern Enland, Clear skies, wind variable 1/2 or calm : In coastal zone expect seabreeze if high temperaturse ashore, intially S, perhaps veering as breeze builds. Perfect MoBo!

Sunday : High drifting NE, possibility of slight cloud spreading from west, minimal risk of rain: Wind increasing F4 initially NE/E veering E/SE as day progresses. Expect coastal convergence to give stronger winds on exposed headlands. Decreasing as evening approaches.

Monday : High still in control, occluded front establishing of SW Ireland, no impact on S Coast. Winds very light SE/SSE, with possibility of seabreezes again.

Humidity should be much lower than the recent warm spell.

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[markdj]

According to the latest GFS models, the wind is to get up to Easterly 20 knots on Sunday and continue throughout Monday for the sea area Wight.

This grib file is extracted from the NOAA GFS/AVN gobal model and is usually very accurate.

Also, looking at WeatherOnline (not onlineweather) they are also predicting high winds on Sunday.

Best to keep your ear close to the ground for the next 24 hours and see how things develop.

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[qsiv]

Thats the joy of different models!

The FNMOC (Us navy) model now shows easterly 5 (20 knots), but is still showing very light winds for Monday. I have to say I prefer the Navy models to aviation ones as the aviation ones dont tend to take into account the reduction in speed that occurs below 30 metres altitude, whereas the Navy models concentrate on sealevel windspeeds. Having said that they are all (in my experience) a bit error prone in terms of the English Channel, as it suffers from so many land effects.

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[markdj]

The GFS models I look at ARE adjusted for low altitudes and they say that it is windspeed at 10 metres above sea level.

Check out my website for the latest marine weather links. The GRIB data is especially good and goes out to 7 days ahead. WeatherOnline uses the same data I think???

<A target="_blank" HREF=http://www.stronge.org.uk>http://www.stronge.org.uk</A>



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[rickp]

Your PDA page has a slight problem - the URLs given in the select box for the area of the UK all refer to 'www.meteo.govt.uk' - you need to remove the 't' on gov

A nice resource though - thanks.

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