Weekend Weather Forecast

simonjk

Well-Known Member
Joined
6 Mar 2003
Messages
2,342
www.sailingweather.co.uk
Hi All,

A quick one this week as I'm out of the office...here goes.

Simon.
Simon Keeling.



WEEKEND SAILING FORECAST
==================
Issued: 1230hrs, Thursday 21st July 2005

FRIDAY (see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack0a.gif)
----------
High pressure is ridging through the country from two centres, one over Iceland, the other to the southwest of England. At the same time eastern coasts will be under the influence of low pressure moving into the Baltic States.
For erastern coasts of England there will be broken cloud and a few showers, although these fairly well isolated. POssibly breezy on the coasts.
More western areas will be drier and brighter. Variable cloud here, but general dry. A risk of showers into western Ireland in the afternoon.
Winds NW 6-8kt (F3) in the east, variable 6-10kt (F3) in the west.

SATURDAY (see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack1a.gif)
---------------
Bit of a tricky one this, because I'm not quite sure how things are going to develop. An overall destabilisation of things through Saturday, with low pressure starting to move to the south of Ireland. A trough may run from Northern Ireland, the Midlands to southeast England, heralding the change, with a cold front following behind.
I suspect that for much of central and eastern England, as well as Scotland the morning should be dry. More cloud to the west and south, bringing showery outbreaks in the morning, these developing more widely over England in the afternoon. Visibility decreasing as the risk of mist and fog increases. More persistent rain may move through Ireland, and into Wales and southwest England later.
Scotland is likely to stay dry, if a little breezy.
Winds variable 6-9kt (F3) overall, but becoming SW 5-8kt (F2) in the west. NE 14-18kt (F4-F5) in northern Scotland.

SUNDAY (http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack2a.gif)
-----------
Again., confidence is low for the detail on Sunday, but I'm happy with the overall synoptic evolution. I like the idea of southern Ireland, Wales, the Midlands and southern England being rather cloudy with showery outbreaks of rain throughout the day. The most persistent of the rain probably in Cornwall, Devon, Dorset and Hampshire, then running along the south coast. Watch out for mist and fog in these areas too, especially through the Channel.
For Northern Ireland, the north of England and Scotland it will be drier with broken cloud. A few showers over eastern Scotland.
Winds will be generally E 12-16kt (F4) in the south, NE 12kt (F3-F4) in the north.


**ends**
 
Thanks Simon,
I've been trying to track the various forecasts as I'm off on Sunday (hopefully), Solent-based to Dorset. Your opinion is always worth listening to. The timing of the Low over southern England looks to be getting later at the moment, and less aggressive, and the F5+ that was initially predicted through the channel on Sunday seems to be reducing, with 10kts or less for most of the channel until Tuesday.

I guess its the usual thing with a changing scenario: keep checking the forecasts but don't forget to check the barometer and look out of the window!!

Dave
 
Hi Dave,

Yes that's right. These lows moving through the Channel always cause problems. Check the forecasts before you go and yes, watch the barometer. This is a reminder to all that the best forecaster is you!

Have a good day Sunday.

Simon
 
Top