Weekend Weather Forecast

simonjk

Well-known member
Joined
6 Mar 2003
Messages
2,342
www.SailingWeather.co.uk
Hi All,

Apologies for the lack of graphics in todays forecast, I'm sending this remotely and haven't grasped the techonology just yet!

If you'd like to receive this forecast by email, please send an email to sailingweather-subscribe@weatherweb.net

Anyhow, here it is, have a good one...

Simon
Weatherweb.net

OVERVIEW
Looking set to be a rather unsettled weekend. Low pressure is going to be in control of things, so it's a showery one. The difficulty is predicting where the showers are mostb likely to be. Keep a close watch on the forecasts as there may be some parts of the country which could actually be fairly pleasant.

FRIDAY
(see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack0a.gif)
Low pressure is expected to be to the west of Ireland through Friday. There's colder air coming in aloft, but with the milder southwest winds at the durface, there is definately the potential for some hefty showers. A cold front clearing southeast England in the early afternoon.
So a fairly cloudy start to the day for much of eastern England. OIutbreaks of rain here, although this clearing by early afternoon. Further west there will be sunny spells, and inland areas will be largely dry at first. Showers soon developing though, and these may become heavy and thundery at times into the afternoon. The showers may merge into more persistent rain (troughs) and these moving eastwards through ireland and the UK in the afternoon.
Winds will be mainly SW 12-16kt (F4), but nearer a S 12kt (F3-F4) in western Scotland.

SATURDAY
(see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack1a.gif)
The low pressure west of Irelands through Saturday. The cold air aloft will be sufficient to allow heavy showers to form again in the afternoon.
Western coasts are likely to have showers in the early morning, but inland arreas should be dry at first. However, with such instability the showers will get going quickly through the day, and these could become widespread and thundery. I'm favouring southern Scotland, north & western England, the Midlands, Wales and Ireland to have the heaviest showers, although just about anywhere could catch a few.
More persistent rain into western Ireland later, all associated with an occluded front.
Winds mainly S-SW 12-17kt (F4), but 16-20kt (F5) southern Irish Sea and Cornwall, S 18-24kt (F5-F6) over southern Ireland.

SUNDAY
(see http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack2a.gif)
Some differences between the models for Sunday. I'm favouring the Met Office idea of a low centred over Northern ireland. Troughs rotating around the low bringing bands of showers.
Widespread showers look likely throughout Sunday. The showers are likely to be heavy at times, with most of them across western and northern parts of the country. The showers may merge to more persistent rain as the troughs move through, with western Ireland especially prone to persistent rain.
Watch the forecast carefully for Sunday as the details may well change. It's hard to tell where the showers will be less frequent just now.
Winds SE 14-18kt (F4 occ F5) over Scotland and northern England, SW 14-18kt (F4-F5) for Wales and western England, mainly W 15-22kt (F5-F6) over southern I.reland
 

ChrisE

Active member
Joined
13 Nov 2003
Messages
7,343
Location
Kington
www.simpleisgood.com
Simon, thanks for the forecast. Do you think you could up with somethings better? 180 miles sailing to do this weekend and it looks as though we'll need our umbrella.
 

tome

New member
Joined
28 Mar 2002
Messages
8,201
Location
kprick
www.google.co.uk
Be grateful if you could revisit and come up with something better for Friday, we're taking some disadvantaged kids out and they won't like what you've provided...

Many thanx, as always!
 

ChrisE

Active member
Joined
13 Nov 2003
Messages
7,343
Location
Kington
www.simpleisgood.com
The Grand Plan? Off to the frozen North, in stages. This weekend it's off to Shotley ready for Whit weekend when we're aiming to get to Stavanger three and a bit days later, then up to Bergen in time to catch our non-refundable flights on 5th June back to the UK. Then back up in late July for a three week cruise going North via the fjords, aiming to leave Rival Spirit in Bodo for the winter then........

I can predict with reasonable confidence that, should we get Shotley, the Whit weekend weather will have a fair degree of North and East F5+ in it. So if anybody is reckoniing to go to Cherbourg from the Solent you can expect a good outward passage, at least.
 

tome

New member
Joined
28 Mar 2002
Messages
8,201
Location
kprick
www.google.co.uk
Ah well, at least you can get a flight to Bergen from Stavanger if it all goes pear shaped. Did you want to hire my private pontoon in Bergen?
 

tome

New member
Joined
28 Mar 2002
Messages
8,201
Location
kprick
www.google.co.uk
It's not quite completed yet- I inspected it in Feb and neither water nor electricity yet in place, tsk. Belongs to my sister and husband. Look up Aastveit just N of Bergen (Ovre Ervik, near the golf course). They assure me it will be ready in time for our visit 2006.

Seriously, can prob arrange soemthing if you need it.
 
Top