Weather for Forum XC crossing next weekend

[simonjk]

I have received a few requests from forum members asking what the outlook is for next weekends crossing trip to Cherbourg.

The models have been fairly consitent for the last few days, so here are my tentatiove EARLY thoughts:

FRIDAY 3RD OCOTBER:
Shallow area of low pressure in the Bay of Biscay through Friday, moving southwards. Trough then moves eastwards to the north of the Channel in the afternoon.
Winds VRB F2 becoming SW F3-F4 in the afternoon, then W-WNW F4 perhaps low end F5 overnight.

SATURDAY 4TH OCTOBER:
A more unstable WNW airflow through Saturday. This bringing sunshine and showers, but showery troughs could allow the showers to merge to more persistent bursts of rain at times.
Winds W F5 becoming WNW F4-F5.

SUNDAY 5TH OCTOBER:
Could be some heavier bursts of rain going through overnight as a more organised troughs moves east. Brighter for Sunday daylight, with only a few showers.
Winds becoming mainly N F5.


Hope that's a useful early heads up. Remember it could all change! I am around 60-70% confident at this time.

Cheers,
Simon


<hr width=100% size=1>Simon Keeling
Managing Director
Weather Consultancy Services Ltd
www.wcsmarine.com

 

[Twister_Ken]

And the following w/end?

Simon, as soon as you've a degree of confidence about the w/end of 10/11/12 october, it would be good if you could post your ideas.

Thx in advance.

TK

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[simonjk]

Re: And the following w/end?

Wioll do Ken, but if you can send me a reminder to simon@weatherweb.net that would be appreciated.

Simon


<hr width=100% size=1>Simon Keeling
Managing Director
Weather Consultancy Services Ltd
www.wcsmarine.com

 

[Twister_Ken]

Roger that. nm

`

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[tcm]

Re: metfax 29th sept

shows forecast for friday 3rd oct : East backing to NW F3-4. Fair, showers or longer spells of rain later. Sea slight or moderate.

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[tcm]

Re: metfax 30th sept

Fridaysupposedly variable 2-3 then Northwest or North F4. some rain or showers.

Saturday Nor NW 4-5 perhaps 6 later. Yeehah (erm, it doesn't actually say yeehah)

seas slight to moderate.

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[ianainge]

Re: metfax 30th sept

Yeehah ,looks like its a go-er then, im really looking forward to it.

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