franksingleton's latest activity

  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    Whether it is pre-computer synoptic data of the current mix of radiances, cloud motion vectors, scatterometer wind data, experimental...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    Yes, but remember that, roughly, a little over 10% of the mass of our atmosphere is above 15 km. The learning so far has, I understand...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    Physical modelling requires global, 3D data, surface to about 80km. Some have suggested even higher but that seems very unlikely. AI...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    You would need 100,000 drone capable of flying at all heights up to 80km. Or radiosondes on a dense network over the whole globe capable...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    Maybe we are using the term data collection in different ways. As I see it, it is not so much a case of acquiring more data but...
  • franksingleton
    Probably a quirk of the algorithms used to generate the various presentations. They all using the UKV.
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    No meteorological data set can ever be perfect. There is far too much inherent variability in the atmosphere. The same applies to...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    The ECMWF trial shows little difference out to 3 days ahead but that AIFS betters IFS from 4 to 10 days. That is based on RMS of 500 hPa...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    I am not doubting that AI will be a valuable tool in weather prediction. I am trying to warn against over expectation. I note that ECMWF...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    See, also, Operational satellite a ‘landmark moment’ for weather forecasts. I suspect the main value here is in the very short term. An...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    I cannot guess how long training using raw data might take. Intuitively, I would guess that is far more complex than using the ERA5...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
    I do not think that there is anything new over and above what has been said in earlier posts. In particular, the article says - “There...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Met Office porkies.
    You are clearly jaundiced. The CEO is paid less than the average CEO. Bonuses were discussed in a thread not long ago. Per capita, the...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Met Office porkies.
    Statistics do not explain or predict climate. They only describe what has happened. They provide confirmatory evidence. Statistics can...
  • franksingleton
    franksingleton replied to the thread Met Office porkies.
    Clearly, the IPCC has failed to convince many people of the gravity of the reality of climate change. The Roysl Society, one of the most...
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