franksingleton
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    • franksingleton
      franksingleton reacted to Marsali_1's post in the thread Weather advancements with Like Like.
      I'm sorry to intervene in a post that was not specifically directed at me, but you are wrong. As an outside observer of the to and fro...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      Not at all. ECMWF and the Met Office have far younger and better scientists than I am or was. I note what ECMWF is doing. I can see why...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      You still have not explained how you would collect information such as starling murmurations, for example. And you are not explaining...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      Sorry, but you are showing your blinkered attitude. If what you say is correct then you, as a data science expert could set up a totally...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      In a nutshell, to know about weather somewhere, you have to know about weather everywhere. That truism will apply whether you are...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      The atmosphere is a big heat engine. The tropical oceans are the main source of heat. Some years ago, there was an international...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      We know that AIFS might do better than current NWP. But AIFS depends upon a NWP model. Do you really think that you can produce...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      You and I agree that ML has the potential to become an important component in weather prediction. We differ on the matter of...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      You seem to forget that the Met Office, NOAA, DWD etc are operational organisation. They have to run services to meet many needs from...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      Clearly, you did not follow my train of thought. ML uses algorithms that learn from observed data to make predictions. Whether you like...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      How useful would temperature be from a centrally heated house? What use would pressure be from a 4th floor flat? Such data might well be...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      That is an odd interpretation of what I said. Yes, all data are useful. There must be some useful information there. I cannot help...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      Whether it is pre-computer synoptic data of the current mix of radiances, cloud motion vectors, scatterometer wind data, experimental...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      Yes, but remember that, roughly, a little over 10% of the mass of our atmosphere is above 15 km. The learning so far has, I understand...
    • franksingleton
      franksingleton replied to the thread Weather advancements.
      Physical modelling requires global, 3D data, surface to about 80km. Some have suggested even higher but that seems very unlikely. AI...
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